, 16 tweets, 10 min read
"Why @jeremycorbyn should back Ken Clarke for PM".
Ahead of 27 Aug meeting between Corbyn & other anti #NoDealBrexit politicians, I'll argue why it is in his & Lab's interest to back Ken Clarke as a temporary PM to support a #PeoplesVote rather than a #GE19. 1/
Here's Corbyn's 14 Aug letter where he set out the case for him becoming temporary PM with the "aim of calling a General Election". As LOTO, he has a very strong, reasonable case to put himself forward here. 2/
However @joswinson didn't think he'd get enough support in HoC. A look at top 50 LibDem target seats shows that they are mainly Tory ones. Supporting JC4PM would be used as a weapon by Tories to scare off Remainer Tory voters Lib Dems need. 3/
electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/t…
What would happen in a GE though? @Gilesyb gives an idea of what can happen under FPTP. The Tories can win a good majority with 31% if the opposition is split as illustrated here. 4/ freethinkecon.wordpress.com/2019/08/12/the…
Yesterday's Sunday Times polls shows a strange paradox. A pro-NoDealBrexit Govt could be elected with a healthy majority where the electorate appear to be pro Remain now. 5/
The Sunday Times poll is consistent with others. @JohnRentoul estimates a 40-80 seat Tory majority on these figures. 6/
No wonder the Tories are thinking of a GE19 before or at the same time as the 17 Oct EU Council meeting. A flag-waving, drum thumping. WWII nostalgia-fest, NoDealBrexit "I'm Backing Boris" GE to hoover up more BrexitParty voters. 7/
thetimes.co.uk/article/climb-…
@nmdacosta (a @BorisJohnson adviser) made the point in June about a new PM going to the EU Council meeting "hands unbound". What better way than having a GE so as to get a healthy majority & not relay on @duponline or even the ERG? 8/
blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/06/will-p…
If there was a GE in Oct, Lab would probably go into it with a "Labour Brexit" manifesto (albeit with a PV option). As it's estimated 40% of Lab members voted for other Parties (or abstained) in EUelections19, this could be a problem. 9/
labour.org.uk/latest/stories…
The main problem for Lab is of course that a GE in Oct would probably result in an increased BoJo NoDealBrexit Tory majority Govt. That's why the "lesser evil" is to support a Ken Clarke led Govt which would organise a PV (Withdrawal Agreement vs Remain) instead of a GE. 10/
Such an anti-NoDealBrexit Govt would then agree to implement the WA where it to pass. For #WtoBrexit (aka NoDeal) advocates, you could argue for this during a transition period if WA wins in a GE. #Yellowhammer shows UK is not ready for it on 31 Oct. 11/
thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/o…
Instead of Lab having a big stinking Brexit row ahead of a GE in Oct, it would be far better to back a PV and have an "agree to disagree" policy as in 1975. 12/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1975_Unit…
The Tories are badly split with calls being made for a purge of Remainer Tories. Backing a PM Ken Clarke & a PV would help exacerbate those splits rather than Lab splits which is what a GE would do. 13/
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
For those who argue "How can Lab consider backing a Tory PM even for a short time?", I refer to this thread on LabTory Brexit negotiations. If these had happened last yr, Lab might well have helped keep May as PM & passed the WA. 14/
Corbyn's letter of 21 Aug for the meeting tomorrow was much more open about discussing "all tactics" & doing "everything we can to stop it". Imo, the best option is to back a "Popular Front against NoDealBrexit" Govt led by Ken Clarke. Other realistic suggestions r welcome. 15/
This post I wrote on it has other details and links but I've covered the main points in the thread. 16/ ENDS #NoDealBrexit #YellowHammer #KenClarke
medium.com/@JRogan3000/wh…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with John Rogan

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!