Garry Tan Profile picture
Aug 27, 2019 4 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Some people would argue venture investing is like alchemy, and value investing is like gold mining.

One is ethereal magic, and another is as real as could be.
Yet startups are businesses like any other.

The mechanics of finding opportunities are the same: moving dirt, rock, rubble to find gold.

The difference is that we are mining in places where they didn’t think to mine— new islands and continents recently discovered.
We’re also trying to find and fund them when it’s one or two people with a shovel in a field, and the first nugget hasn’t been dug out of the ground yet.

It looks like alchemy, but it’s still gold mining. That’s why value and venture investing aren’t that different after all.
A few years ago my @initialized partners and I went to visit the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting and these are a few thoughts from that trip. — medium.com/initialized-ca…

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More from @garrytan

Jan 31
What metrics did it take to raise Series A in 2023? On average:

6X annual rev growth
80% gross margin
Image
Image
It’s not a fast money time. The bar is high and will remain high.

news.crunchbase.com/venture/seed-t…
Burn multiple matters: you can’t just sell $20 bills for a discount anymore

Read 4 tweets
Jun 28, 2023
Maximum Karen energy

The wife of the creator of Farmville pictured below doxxed my home address and forced me to move because I got politically active

Let’s work hard to vote out their favored elected officials and root out their corrupt cronies
In 2019 The Richmond Democratic Club honored her with some kind of award alongside Peter Lauterborn, a manager in the SF Ethics Dept

Having friends in the Ethics dept is awfully handy if your political machine might need the dept to look the other way

This was the same event with a truly rotten cast of corrupt politicians including Allison Collins who was recalled for making instruction worse for kids, removed Algebra from middle schools and merit from Lowell (and calling Asians house n-words)
Read 9 tweets
Apr 12, 2023
The difference between an overhyped startup failure and a valuable real business that makes it the long haul is sometimes as simple as:

Do the founders themselves believe in what they are doing to the point where they will not quit?
This is where definite optimism matters: If startup ideas were people…

an indefinite optimist looks for more optionality, searching around the room at the party for the more interesting person to talk to. Image
A definite optimist engages deeply and finds themselves engrossed in the person they are talking to now.

For their startup, the problem or way to solve becomes a calling. It isn’t just words to trick people into giving them capital or to come work for them.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 3, 2023
People know me to be nice, but one of the biggest things I had to learn is to properly tune my response to things when knives came out

The key: be authoritative, not authoritarian, and not a pushover
Authoritarian responses come from a place of insecurity, as do pushover responses.

What will they think of me? Let me overcorrect.

Or, what choice do I have? The consequences may be too much.
The antidote is in the middle: authoritative responses focus on what needs to be done, versus what one fears. Clear

A place of secure authority knows: just enough. Not too much, and not too little.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 1, 2023
It’s too bad this is April Fool’s Day because it would be great if Myrna Melgar didn’t run again.

San Francisco needs consistent common sense leaders instead of virtue signaling NIMBYs who don’t care about public safety
This supervisor is a lot like the other corrupt supervisors Preston, Peskin, Chan, Ronen & Walton

But she is the only one who openly discussed how she is in the pocket of NIMBY corrupt nonprofit TODCO in the Chronicle

Open graft in SF deserves investigation and public scrutiny
Melgar also vocally supports our absurdly bad SF police commission (and the worst ideologues on it)

This terrible police commission is more focused on reducing enforcement on traffic stops than actually solving any real world safety problems in our city
Read 4 tweets
Mar 30, 2023
Beware focusing on competition over customers.

It’s surprisingly common to spend all your time fighting the other players in your market and then realizing years later the market didn’t really exist.

The only way to avoid this is radical focus on customers, not competition.
Early on, my startup Posterous was framed to be a Tumblr competitor. We spent a lot of time fighting that battle.

That market didn’t end up being a real durable one.

We were so focused on web publishing we underinvested in mobile and the ultimate winner was Instagram.
In the moment there are enemies to the left and right of you. But the real combatant may not be obvious to either of you.

The ultimate winner knows not just what is next to them, but the contours of the battlefield and what ground has durable advantage to hold the lands.
Read 5 tweets

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