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My new post: the climate strike illustrated how fast US climate politics are shifting. But the system is structurally designed to resist change. Confronted with an immovable object, can the climate movement become an unstoppable force?…
All right, y'all, I wrote a piece today 👆 that is getting lost in the news frenzy, so I'm going to nag you to read it. It comes out of the many many conversations I had in DC last week. It's about the central tension in climate politics right now, namely ...
... the vast gulf between the rising salience of climate change and strength of the movement ... and the incredibly narrow, difficult path to getting anything accomplished. Immoveable object meets unstoppable (?) force.
The narrow path to victory involves: Dems winning House, Senate, & presidency, convincing Trump to leave office without violence, getting rid of the filibuster, convincing Joe Manchin to vote for something decent, preventing 2022 backlash, & surviving court challenge.
Every individual one of those items faces long odds, but all of them together ... it is daunting. So I conclude the post with every young activist's favorite thing, namely, a bunch of Advice from an Old Guy about what the movement needs to do/become.
Namely, it needs to chalk up some clear electoral victories, get labor fully on board (without losing EJ), make some smart plans for first-100-days priorities, and develop both a radical outside game & a smart, savvy inside game (that do not cannibalize one another).
The situation is desperate & the young activists involved have every right to be furious with their elders, who have sleep-walked their way into disaster. But rage must be balanced with ruthless pragmatism & a clear-eyed view of power.
There's just no time for sectarian disputes that can possibly be avoided. Climate hawks have too many enemies among the PTB to add "other climate hawks who are doing it wrong" to the list. And yes there are sure to be many ppl/bots seeking to inflame such sectarian disputes.
Anyway, that's one Old Guy's take, FWIW. I welcome your thoughts or, absent that, your clicks. Just click on the damn thing, is what I'm saying. </fin>
One addendum to this thread: I'm reminded I got that immovable/unstoppable metaphor for the climate movement in my head b/c @jnoisecat of @DataProgress used the same language at the GND event I was at a few weeks ago. Watch the panel he was on, it's great!…
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