Ryan Reeves Profile picture
Sep 24, 2019 17 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Running [THREAD] of business frameworks w/ thoughts

#1-5: industries
#6-12: company strategy
#13-15: competitive advantages

Feel free to add any that I missed!

Thanks 😁
1/ The Classic Porter's 5 Forces

- All about numbers. If you have a lot of customers, you can leverage that against a fragmented supplier base.

- If you have small customer base w/ few suppliers, it's hard to have leverage.

- Same dynamic with # of companies competing w/ you
2/ Going off of that a little, we have @benthompson's Aggregation Theory.

3 parts to value chains: supplier, distributor, consumer.

If you can monopolize 1 of these or integrate 2, then you can create immense value.
3/ Disruption Theory from Christensen

Disruptive companies come in from the bottom of a market so incumbents rationally don't move down-market.

2 types: low-end or new market disruption

Low-end: mini steel mills
New market: Netflix
4/ Low-End Disruption

My own theory for why low-end disruption usually takes place:
business model shifts

Retailers, airlines, etc. Start with a fresh business model so they can structurally undercut incumbents.
5/ New Market Disruption

My own theory for why new-market disruption usually takes place: platform shifts

New platforms enable companies to focus on specific vectors that create new markets. Then, as tech improves, the disruptor utilizes the new platform to move upmarket.
6/ Business Model Canvas

I interviewed @fourweekmba today and we talked about this.

Episode will be released on Monday.

1) Key partners
2) Key activities
3) Key resources
4) Value prop
5) Channels
6) Relationships
7) Segments
8) Cost structure
9) Sales
7/ Value Chain from Porter

Can be broken into the 3 parts Ben Thompson talks about: suppliers, distributors, consumers

The support activities involve suppliers (employees are suppliers of work)

Logistics & operations = distribution

S&M and service are consumer-facing
8/ Lean start-up canvas

This is geared toward entrepreneurs rather than business analysts

Differences:
1) problem vs. key partners
2) solution vs. key activities
3) key resources vs. key metrics
4) advantages vs. customer relationships
9/ Customer Value Prop framework (CVP)

I like this one a lot. Some more refinement from the business model canvas.

Note: #9-12 are found in this paper: essay.utwente.nl/70784/1/Aarntz…
10/ Kind of like a blend of value chain and the CVP frameworks

Includes the strategy element
11/ The Magic Triangle

Good combination of the definition of a business model
12/ Stakeholder Model of Cooperation

6 Key Parties

1) Employees
2) Customers
3) Management
4) Owners
5) Suppliers
6) Communities

Very difficult to balance all 6 parties
13/ This is @ganeumann's taxonomy of moats framework

The 4 S's
1) State
2) Special Know-How
3) Scale
4) System Rigidity

#13-15 are competitive advantage frameworks
14/ Barriers to entry framework from @IntrinsicInv
15/ Morningstar moat framework (@ToddWenning and Pat Dorsey, two people who think very clearly about moats both came from Morningstar)

1) Scale
2) Cost Advantage
3) Intangible Assets
4) Network Effects
5) Switching Costs

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More from @RyanReeves_

Jun 29, 2023
Some good sections from Chris Mayer’s 100 Baggers

1. The main job of an analyst is understanding how the company will create future value.
2. Average company life spans have been decreasing
3. Years it takes to get a 100 bagger. On average it takes 25 years at a 21% return
Read 7 tweets
Jun 27, 2023
Going back through “Measuring the Moat” by Mauboussin.

Here are some helpful things:

1. Industry Map

- Important to understand all of the players in an industry and how the whole value chain works.
2. Profit pools.

- Once you have the players, you need to understand which points in the value chain capture the most value. Profit pools are the factor of the excess returns on capital and the share of the industry’s total investment.
3. Market share stability

- Another important concept when studying an industry is how much the market share changes. If it is all over the place, that likely means the barriers to entry aren’t that high.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 11, 2023
1/ Over the past 13 years, Apple has brought in $758 billion in free cash flow.

And it has returned 93% of that to shareholders, shrinking share count by 37%.
2/ In 2010, the company's market cap was under $300 billion.

At that price, the entire market cap was paid back in cash in just 6 years!

After year 6, your yield on original cost just from free cash flow would've been around 20%.
3/ Today, the iPhone makes up 52% of revenue these days as services and other products have grown pretty quickly.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 21, 2023
1/ Intuit is probably most well-known for TurboTax.

If you take the average cost of the Deluxe offering ($80), the $3.9 billion in revenue means that roughly 48 million people use the software...
2/ But Quickbooks still accounts for a greater piece of the business and for SMBs, Quickbooks is definitely the outright leader.
3/ TurboTax has gotten some bad press over the past few years and it had to pay a $141 million fine last year for deceiving consumers that could've used their Free-to-file option.

If you didn't know, the IRS partners with firms to give free-to-file options if you make < $73k.
Read 10 tweets
Mar 12, 2023
1/ Visa's network effect is crazy.

4.1 billion of its cards (pre-paid, credit and debit) have been issued and 100 million merchants accept these cards.
2/ Below are comps of the card networks.

In 2022, Visa did about $14 trillion in total volume with about 707 million transactions per day.
3/ While doing $14 trillion in total volume (for context, US GDP is $23 trillion), it "only" did $30 billion in revenue.

This is about a 0.21% take-rate.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 7, 2023
1/ McDonald's has $54 billion in gross PPE.

Now, that's a lot of real estate! Image
2/ Before Prologis bought Duke Realty, it had $56 billion in gross PPE.

That means McDonald's has as much real estate as one of the LARGEST holders of industrial real estate in the world.
3/ But it didn't start out that way. Ray Kroc was struggling to make a profit after discovering the McDonald brothers.

The switch to buying the real estate and charging rental rates to franchisees really changed the underlying economics.
Read 8 tweets

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