, 13 tweets, 3 min read
Turkey and Russia have a quasi-military pact and several arrangements that benefit both countries and their respective ruling parties. Russia seeks to break Iranian influence in Syria to cash in on multi-billion dollar reconstruction deals. 1/2
"The Kurds" (YPG/PKK leadership) are hoping to re-negotiate with the Assad regime for autonomy (ability to tax, run their own local $ schemes, and proxy rule) and protection since now there is a risk the U.S. cannot provide them will millions in aid. 2/3
Btw nobody has actually seen any ledgers as to where the millions in monetary aid have actually gone or been used for specifically, or if this money has been misused/vanished as these things tend to happen when you fund militant groups. Hint: Tax havens, Republican outrage. 3/4
Furthermore, the YPG / PKK are not defenseless they have a turncoat policy that has enabled their leadership to survive this long; their latest statements on having to re-organize troops and not being able to guard ISIS prisoners properly is pure bullshit and a bargaining chip.
YPG / PKK / SDF "The Kurds" (Idk choose your flavor of the week) are going to use ISIS as a bargaining chip with whoever might find some use for them. Meaning they are perfectly willing to release/ sale ISIS prisoners if the price is right, something the Assad regime would want.
Since the Europeans and USians in all their great wisdom chose not to grant ISIS fighters any rights, they have not been given a fair trial, sentence or returned home they have been sitting in a prison waiting to either be released, sold, or mass executed...
... apart from sitting in prison awaiting an uncertain fate, ISIS prisoners are mostly composed of ordinary impoverished idiots who have been festering in the same hole for a while possibly strengthing their bonds and no efforts have been made to deradicalize them.
If "the Kurds" do see their funding slashed by the U.S. they are going to find that funding elsewhere. By threatening to ally themselves with Assad/Russia, this is the real message that should be read but media and performative revolutionaries fail to see.
As for the danger posed by Turkey against Kurds, and the cries of genocide (that ignore ongoing genocide already happening thanks to Assad) 18% of Turkey's population are Kurds and they are very much alive. So if a Kurdish genocide were underway, they'd be the first to tell us.
Turkey is still a bastard of a totalitarian state and conditions for internal Kurdish populations could be much better. The treatment of Kurdish populations living within YPG/PKK areas will not be favorable under a Turkish rule, the risk of ethnic cleansing/displacement is high.
However, it must be noted many Syrian towns were displaced/ ethnically cleansed by the YPG/SDF/PKK as well and flipped into Kurdish towns, they also have a litany of human rights abuses & terrorist attacks. This in no way should justify ethnic cleansing or collective punishment.
We know many will sneer and continue to regurgitate the stale propaganda produced by Turkey or hysterically tweet about your favorite anti ISIS fighting force or whatever they were rebranded as, but in the context of the Syria war, it falls very short.
We hope this thread serves an educational purpose and that people don't just pick and choose what they want to hear or see.
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