, 10 tweets, 8 min read
Trump’s sanctions against #Turkey result largely from Erdogan’s purchase of #S400 from #Russia. Interestingly #India too signed a deal worth $5.4 billion with Russia for S-400 in 2015. If US decide to sanction India, Reliance Defense may be destroyed. greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
Purchases from #Russia attract US #sanctions under the #CAATSA Act.

The US can issue waivers but only on a transaction-to-transaction basis.

The US still has NOT given #India a waiver on this #S400 deal despite requests. greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
Guess who is the main offset partner for the #S400 deal between #India & #Russia?

Yup - it’s Anil Ambani’s Reliance Defense.

Ambani signed a contract with Russia’s Almaz-Antey which makes S-400 potentially worth $6bn. greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
If US decides NOT to give waiver on #S400 deal, Reliance Defense faces sanctions too. Now this makes it tricky because Reliance Defense is also the offset partner on #Rafale. US sanctions mean Ambani can’t work with Dassault which is French (a NATO ally). greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
Foreign Minister Jaishankar has been lobbying hard in the US to get a waiver on #S400. A few weeks ago he said “he’s confident about his negotiation skills”.

The US, however, hasn’t yet said a word on this.
greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
The fall of the #S400 deal would mean a major setback for Anil Ambani’s Reliance Defense. If the deal doesn’t get a waiver (and India still goes ahead) Ambani’s #Rafale deal gets hit. India can easily find an alternative but that’d destroy Reliance Defense greatgameindia.com/the-s400-deal-…
Govt hasn’t yet answered questions on mystery Motor Sich aircraft intercepted by IAF on 10th May. Motor Sich makes engines for Antonov. Anil Ambani has signed a JV with Antonov. What was the cargo of that aircraft? How it bypassed India-Pak airspace ban? greatgameindia.com/the-ukraine-in…
Motor Sich (a Ukrainian firm) shockingly operates in India out of Russian Embassy. This despite the fact that #Ukraine & #Russia are at War. Motor Sich is being probed in Ukraine for terror funding to separatists & for its links to Russian intelligence. greatgameindia.com/the-ukraine-in…
The Ukrainians had also started corruption probe lasts year in India’s deal with Antonov. They wrote a letter to the Home Ministry but the probe was buried by then Defense Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. Why? greatgameindia.com/the-ukraine-in…
Join us on Telegram for more intel and updates t.me/greatgameindia
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