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Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
@RVAwonk
Dec 19, 2019 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
A lot of Trump supporters are talking about civil war after the #ImpeachmentVote. It's easy to laugh at the keyboard warriors in the mix, but there are definitely extremists using this opportunity to try to bring about social & political upheaval by issuing calls for violence. Image
Keep in mind, too, that multiple Republican lawmakers have threatened that going forward with #impeachment would lead to civil war. This type of rhetoric absolutely emboldens extremists and other violent individuals.

msnbc.com/am-joy/watch/g…
Per an Oct 2018 DOJ indictment, Russia's Internet Research Agency directed its operatives to use impeachment to call for civil war:

"Any attempt to remove Trump is a direct path to a civil war in the United States. Name those who oppose the president..."

justice.gov/usao-edva/pres…
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The DOJ cited an Aug '17 article as the basis for Russia's guidance re. using impeachment to call for civil war.

Also in Aug '17: Roger Stone warns if Congress tries to impeach Trump, "You will have a spasm of violence in this country — an insurrection — like you’ve never seen"
Right-wing pundit Michael Savage's Aug 2017 remarks about civil war/impeachment -- which were used as guidance by Russia's Internet Research Agency -- were also amplified by Kremlin-aligned right-wing media the same month that Roger Stone was parroting this narrative.


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So the takeaway message here is that there are extremists who will try to use impeachment to call for violence, plus Republicans (esp. Trump) who will engage in stochastic terrorism -- and we're already seeing Russian propaganda outlets amplify those narratives.
And here is an example of one of those Russian propaganda outlets pushing the impeachment/civil war narrative.

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More from @RVAwonk

Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Apr 25
Look, I obviously know the circumstances are different, but there is a ton of overlap between what is going on now and the various iterations of the so-called campus free speech wars that we’ve seen for years. We know how this will unfold. Here’s a sneak preview.
The stories you hear in the media will be the most extreme examples that can be found, and nearly all of them will be fundamentally misrepresented based on the biases of the person telling the story. This will fuel a cycle of escalation that few people on either side want.
Just like we’ve seen the emergence of so-called war/conflict influencers, we are once again seeing the rise of the campus speech war influencer, and once you let those people take over, they’ll steer things towards the extremes because that’s where the attention they seek is.
Read 13 tweets
Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Apr 16
FYI: There has been a huge surge in the number of deepfake videos — some of which are quite well done — on this platform in the past few days. These are probably among the best quality deepfakes I’ve seen at this scale; most viewers are unable to tell that the videos are fake.
Some of the deepfakes are related to the Iran-Israel conflict; others focus on domestic issues in the U.S., including multiple that sought to sow hostility between Black Americans and immigrants. These videos were explicitly pro-Trump, but it’s not clear who produced them.
Other deepfake videos I’ve seen on X in the past few days have focused on violence & civil war, with some claiming to show acts of heinous violence on camera. Still others have shown “footage” of people yelling slurs in someone’s face, or crowds of unruly people breaking things.
Read 9 tweets
Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Mar 28
Since I’ve had some people ask about it, I’ll give you my very brief thoughts on the absolutely ridiculous conspiracy theories about the Key Bridge collapse.

Firstly, many of the people spreading the most outlandish claims don’t actually believe in them. It’s engagement bait.
Secondly, we are at a point where any event that attracts a certain amount of attention is going to become a magnet for conspiracy theories & other forms of participatory disinformation. Most of the narratives are laundered — ie, they’re not new or unique to this event.
Third, it’s important to understand that most people who actively participate in constructing alternate realities have integrated this into their core identity. The various competing narratives out there end up becoming a way to signal affiliation with certain groups & stances.
Read 7 tweets
Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Mar 15
I told you this was going to happen and now here we are.

In science, when we don’t understand something, we don’t assume that means it doesn’t exist. In medicine, if they don’t understand something, it doesn’t exist to them. It’s wild.
nypost.com/2024/03/14/lif…
I didn’t think they’d start denying the existence of long COVID quite so soon, but it was clear it was coming.
Saying long COVID doesn’t exist not only fails to help those suffering from it, but it actually makes their health outcomes worse due to distress, isolation, and betrayal trauma from being dismissed by those who were supposed to help them.
Read 9 tweets
Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Feb 3
NEW: Russian state media is amplifying civil war rhetoric and promoting the Texas border convoy, and there’s evidence that accounts associated with the Internet Research Agency are being ‘reactivated’ to promote a Texas secessionist movement.

My latest:
weaponizedspaces.substack.com/p/russia-ampli…
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Propaganda outlets RT & Sputnik, which together function as one of the major instruments of Russia’s disinformation machine, have been amplifying both sides of the border conflict — a tactic straight out of the disinfo playbook — and promoting the right-wing border convoy.
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They have published dozens of articles focused on the border conflict in recent days, which is significant because points of major focus on RT & Sputnik don’t just reflect the news cycle — they actually tell us something about Russia’s foreign policy priorities.
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Read 10 tweets
Caroline Orr Bueno, Ph.D Profile picture
Jan 26
Trump is openly calling for states to take up arms against the federal government, which is as close to calling for civil war as you can get without actually using the words. This is an alarming escalation and this situation could spiral out of control very, very quickly. Image
Some essential reading regarding Trump, Abbott, Texas, and the threat of civil war:
I have been writing about this exact moment for 8 years now. Extremists have been preparing for it for even longer.
Read 5 tweets

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