Ryan Katz-Rosene, PhD Profile picture
Mar 8, 2020 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
GWP* shouldn’t serve as a "GET OUT OF JAIL FREE CARD" for livestock producers or meat and dairy consumers.

However, there ARE some important ways GWP* should change the way we think of agricultural CH4...

--> quick thread...
1. Recognize that CH4 is fundamentally different than CO2 in terms of how it impacts the climate. So STOP measuring agricultural CH4 in terms of CO2 equivalents. Just stop. It’s unhelpful. Image
2. Livestock farmers (and by proxy, meat and dairy consumers) CAN SUPPORT climate change mitigation by supporting reductions in methane emissions.

One way to do this is to use technology…

yet another is to reduce the number of ruminants!

[We need both!]
3.1 Recognize that a certain amount of agricultural methane is unavoidable. CH4 is related to the decomposition of carbon-based life forms. Even before sedentary societies methane was part of the food system... (hunted ruminants, wild rice, etc.) Image
3.2 That said, in global terms agricultural methane emissions have been growing since the industrial revolution - adding significantly to global warming. We need to reduce that trend. Everyone has a role to play in climate mitigation. ImageImage
4.1 Once emitted, agricultural CH4 and Fossil CH4 both have the SAME warming influence. However, they have different ORIGINS, and this means they have different LIFECYCLE impacts. The IPCC recognizes this: Image
4.2. Easiest way to think about this IMHO: Carbon in agricultural CH4 is returned to the atmosphere after its RECENT REMOVAL; Carbon in fossil CH4 is returned to atmosphere after being SEQUESTERED for millions of years. Image
5. Farmers are asking for FAIRER representations of livestock’s relationship to climate change (especially in the media). In some countries methane reductions are contributing to cooling!
6. There are merits to arguments calling for overall reductions of beef and dairy consumption based on climate. However, there’s ALSO (paradoxically) a climate argument to be made for supporting meat & dairy producers who are reducing methane emissions...
6.2 Yes, ruminants emit lots of methane, but they also play a very important role in the agri-food system.
Yes, a global reduction in the number of ruminants is NECESSARY for the climate, but let’s not throw the baby out with the bathwater! blogs.oregonstate.edu/dairy/2016/12/…

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More from @ryankatzrosene

Apr 5
It’s been six months since I posted this (semi-viral?) thread👇

So let’s take a renewed look: How has the debate between these two competing “climate urgency science narratives” evolved over the last half year?
🧵
1) The thread noted a divide between what I called “accelerationists” who were sounding alarm that 2023’s remarkable warming was the beginning of SOMETHING NEW, and those I (later) called “observationalists”, who claimed 2023’s extreme warmth fits within EXPECTED WARMING trends.
2) These positions continue to be expressed. @MichaelEMann, for instance, is adamant that “the truth [about global warming] is bad enough”; that the warming we saw in 2023 can be explained by known climate physics; and that 2023 fits within the modelled warming. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 5
This post by @FoodProfessor claims that the Trudeau Government purposely built the @ClimateInstit and @SP_Inst as part of its "lobbying machine" and that they are "mandated to advocate blindly" for the carbon tax.

This is a baseless claim.

Thread...🧵 Image
1) This story starts in 1988 when the Mulroney government created an Independent advisory council of experts called the National Roundtable on the Environment and the Economy. For 25 years it produced numerous reports on environmental policy, advising governments.
2) Then in 2013 the Harper government cancelled the NREE's funding because it did not like the advice it was receiving (in particular regarding carbon pricing). News story about it here: cbc.ca/news/politics/…
Read 13 tweets
Apr 3
🧵REQUIEM for a unified green left...

I don't know if the left has ever been unified, but today there seems to be a massive and growing rift about the environment - and especially climate - amongst socialists.

I now worry these differences are irreconcilable...
2. The discord seems to come down to fundamentally different worldviews shaping interpretations and definitions of modernity, development, progress, capitalism, justice, Marx's intentions, strategy, the future...

Many people seem absolutely fed up with "the other side". FED. UP.
3. The Degrowth Left (and this is sure to be a caricature of 'the ideology', not thinking of any one individual) seems FED UP with what it believes Ecomodern Socialism is: a sort of capitalism-as-usual in disguise...
Read 14 tweets
Apr 2
It's worth emphasizing that because the scheduled carbon tax rate increase is flat ($15/tonne/year through to 2030), the *relative* weight increase declines over time.

There's a few ways that the carbon tax increase may *feel* less consequential as time goes on. Mini 🧵
First, as Chris has pointed out, this year it's a 23% increase on the tax rate relative to last year. But next year it will be an 18.75% increase and so on until it just stays fixed at $170/tonne - no longer increasing any more, year after year...
Second, due to inflation, the relative weight of an increase could also decline.

Ex: Currently the tax *increase* adds about 3.3c per litre ($17.6c/L). A 50L tank of gas has $8.80 tax. If the avg pre-tax gas price goes up, the relative size of the tax increase per tank declines.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 16
Here's the abridged story of how NEOLIBERALISM became dominant (as I understand it). This is also a story with CLIMATE implications.

I draw on works by Harvey, Klein, Helleiner, Ruggie, and others.

(Keen to hear amendments, additions, critiques from fellow political economists)
1) It's 1944 and the soon-to-be victors of WWII gather at Bretton Woods to design the Post-War global economy. They develop an international monetary system largely seeking stability; one that fosters cooperation and prosperity through international trade and growth.
Image
Image
2) This model of 'embedded liberalism' sought a balance between what was seen as volatile laissez-faire market capitalism on one hand, and protectionist (even authoritarian) state interventionism on the other. In domestic terms, it lent itself to Keynesian 'demand-side' policies. Image
Read 24 tweets
Feb 14
1. Speaking of tipping points: I believe the world has recently tipped into the early stages of one of the most profound transformations humanity has ever endured. It will take place over the next 50 years or so.

🧵on this fascinating and terrifying time to be alive!
2. The transformation is being ushered in by major demographic, technological, and ecological changes. These are mutually-reinforcing in some ways, making the transformation feel lightning fast (in human terms). The late 21st Century will look fundamentally different from today.
3. First, two demographic shifts which are profoundly consequential: i) Global population will for the first time in human history peak and *trend* downward (the rate of growth already peaked years ago) ii) the shift from a mostly-rural to mostly-urban population continues.
Image
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Read 7 tweets

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