Since January, @cmmid_lshtm has carried out a range of modelling work to support COVID-19 planning. We've now finished a full write-up of the specific UK scenario analyses we've worked on over the past 6 weeks or so. Pre-print available here: cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19… 1/ 
First, a reminder of how COVID-19 modelling feeds into UK decision making: a range of independent modelling groups provide evidence through SPI-M and SAGE, often in response to specific questions 2/
Our pre-print has more details about the model assumptions and scenarios we considered, but here's a summary of the key scenario analyses we conducted: 3/
It's worth emphasising that this isn't the only modelling work @cmmid_lshtm has done to support COVID-19 planning – my colleagues have looked at isolation/contact tracing, social interaction patterns, airport screening and more... 4/
Code and data for the UK analysis are available here: github.com/cmmid/covid-uk. Credit in particular to @_nickdavies @rozeggo @amyg225 & John Edmunds for all their work on this over past couple of months. 5/5
