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Former TTP - media wing released a documentary, beside unveiling their relationship with the Afghan Taliban, it’s an acknowledgement & declarations of dissolving, joining the Afghan Taliban under their leadership. Confirming the assessments after the death of Hakimullah Mehsud.
This is major development, confirming my sources and reports from Paktika, Zabul & the battles against ISKP in Nangarhar & Kunar. Where former allies turned their guns on eachother. One fighting on behalf of the Afghan Taliban the others in the ranks of ISKP.
And yet once again TTP fooled @NDSAfghanistan , used their feeded intel & support provided to them returned it to the Afghan Taliban to take out NDS officials & spies in their ranks or heads in several provinces. Reducing CIA, NDS activity in south, east to a minimum.
Orakzai, Bajaur factions and some other small groups from the TTP joined their salafist allies in Kunar, Nangarhar to form ISKP that’s correct, not the whole TTP. It gained them wealth, power & attention. Like ISIS in MENA, always hungry for headlines.
Here is how really close Hakimullah Mehsud got with Afghanistan. Pictured with Mullah Sangeen and Sirajudin Haqqani, the current Taliban deputy head, who trained TTP fighters in Afghanistan on how to ambush, raid and carry out attacks, later used against Pakistani forces.
I think the term loosely allied described best the factions once fought under the TTP. The TTP was a unification out of necessity and not due to their goals, because they varied dramatically, in times it worked like criminal mafia structures.
Hakimullah was the Afghan Taliban’s man for many things in Pakistan. His death made them handicap and their operations inside Pakistan and asked their loyal fighters to move to Afghanistan.…
Many underestimated the salafist groups independent from Afghan Taliban in Kunar & Nangarhar. In times they fought alongside the Taliban, but with ISIS rise in Syria & Iraq they were joined by those other factions from TTP.
The APS attack was a heinous and gruesome attack carried out by a elements of a TTP faction. But the casualties weren’t only caused by the terrorist attackers, but also by the raiding teams. They indiscriminately killed civilians.
There is a small scale local insurgency. But most of the fighters are now based/shattered alongside Afghan Taliban. And have been retrained and regrouped to fit them into the Afghan structure. They have fought heavy battles against ISKP & other militias.
It’s a small boost for the Afghan Taliban having extra reliable 2000 to 4000 fighters, but they were necessary to reclaim areas and defeat ISKP in Nangarhar, Laghman & keep government forces at bay in #Paktika & #Zabul.
There are plent of ways to prove that Pakistani forces killed civilians in the APS incident. The forensics, use of explosive and heavy arms in the raid, just to name a few. The witness will tell you that government forces used excessive force.
The video confirms, what researchers & sources on the ground. That with 2015 things changed. Not only did 1000s of Waziristani fighters vanished along with allies across the border but they became then an integral part, especially deployed against ISKP.
There are still clashes with Pakistan army here & there. But the bulk of Mehsud & Wazir tribesmen formerly with Hakimullah are today with the Afghan Taliban in their ranks, not as a separate entity, but as a part of their fighting units, dissolved into the local groups.
In contrary, ISKP rise swallowed almost all extremist groups & tore a line between factions having regional and those with international goals. Afraid fighting at two fronts. A minority of fighters chose to join their allies, the Afghan Taliban.
For a number of reasons, btw it already happened, we are talking about things that already occurred between 2014 -‘18. With the bulk of fighting shouldered by Waziristan tribesmen in Paktika, Nangarhar, Zabul w: local fighters against ISKP & Govt militias.
Just for clarification, things mentioned here already happend. They have been integrated & it’s been now almost 4 years since factions with Hakimullah have dissolved & intermixed in Afghan Taliban ranks. They have no separate entities or groups.
ISI was still using Colonel Imam for their campaign against both Afghan TB & TTP. Afghan Taliban intervened not to kill him because of his age & release him on humanitarian grounds. Hakimullah send them his confessions & involvement in intel operations.
Many displaced from Waziristan now are residing in Paktika or elsewhere. Let make things clear, ppl like Ali Wazir are not only stranger to them, but they have valid skepticism about figures who want to claim speaking on their behalf. They will return.
Many seems to be confused, icld. ISI, NDS & probably the CIA, by d release of evidence as such seen, which have been known by analysts for long. Captured TTP mem. repeatedly told that they have been w/ Mullah Sangeen, but were declared propaganda by PAK.
What they should be sure about that the things mentioned here are all a part of the past couple of years. For strategists to understand what enabled the Taliban in Afghanistan to stop & dismantle ISKP (or loyalists) from making inroads into their areas or within their ranks.
For defense analysts, that have failed & underestimated the Afghan Taliban once again, they made one of the most rogue militant groups such as TTP submit and dissolve into their ranks, while taking on the TTPs former allies ISKP with iron fist & launching onslaught on splitters.
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