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Two CDC studies—from a restaurant, and a call center—suggest transmission from talking, laughing, breathing around other ppl in a closed space for hours is much more important for transmission than surfaces.

wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26…
wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26…

(via @zeynep)
Some plausible implications, if these findings are true:

1. It's probably safe to open the parks.
2. Packed restaurants and bars are going to be verboten for a while.
3. Meetings in small conference rooms were always deadly, but now they can literally kill you.
4. The Seinfeld episode about close talkers is now a horror short
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
The PPP news cycle has been totally back-asswards.

The business loan program was too small, everybody knew it, and a hunger-games scramble for money ensued. Then the money ran out (duh) and we blamed ... the companies getting loans to avoid mass layoffs during a plague!
It's like designing a breadline to only serve one-third of the city and then naming-and-shaming the people at the front of the line.

"Can you believe Jill got bread? Jill! She told me her family had dinner four nights ago. Those kind of people don't even need bread!"
And please don't ask me to defend every. single. employer. that. got. a. loan. The possibility of opportunistic and unethical actors has to be factored into crisis-era legislation. That's why you want the SMB program to be HUGE—to withstand malfeasance and still have $ left over.
Read 4 tweets
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
It's fantastic that South Korea is reopening malls, restaurants, and clubs.

It's also important to be clear what that re-opening model entails: a test & trace apparatus capable of identifying and quarantining 1,000+ people in 48 hours if one family tests positive for the virus.
Link: reuters.com/article/us-hea…
Read 3 tweets
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Derek Thompson
@DKThomp
OpenTable bookings had declined 70% before US restaurants were closed.

Swedish movie theaters are open but revenues are down 90%.

“When will government open up the economy?” is the wrong question. Open doors and no customers is not an economy! ImageImage
Pandemic Economics Rule #4: In a pandemic, the business of America is not business; it’s public health.

Without cash, people will die. Without loans, companies will die. Without a public health fix, people and companies will die anyway. google.com/amp/s/amp.thea… Image
That first graph is from this great @CharlesFLehman piece.

BOTH consumers AND govts are responding to public information about the virus. And, bc consumers act faster than legislatures, social distancing is coming before local shut-down ordinances.

freebeacon.com/coronavirus/la…
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