Thought of the day: We don’t actually have proof that #wargaming works. We BELIEVE it works, but that is not the same as having evidence-based research that it accomplishes what we believe it does. [1/7]
As professional wargamers we believe that wargaming helps generate new ideas, challenges assumptions and biases, improves understanding of a problem, promotes learning, and leads to better plans. [2/7]
We certainly don’t put so much passion and energy into wargaming because we believe it blocks new ideas, promotes negative learning, fails to improve organizational problem solving, or reinforces conventional wisdom to the detriment of innovation. [3/7]
But what empirical evidence do we have that wargaming works in the way we believe it does, and gives us good outcomes? Even if it creates good outcomes, is it any better than other approaches? [4/7]
Even if we do see near-term gains from wargaming such as in learning or problem solving, how persistent are the effects? [5/7]
Has history become legend, legend become myth? It is an article of faith that wargaming during the interwar years helped the Navy in WWII. But we lack even case study research on Navy organizational learning and wargaming. [6/7]
We owe it to everyone who uses and believes in wargaming to be evidence based. As a research community, we need opportunities to rigorously study the efficacy of wargaming. [7/7]
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