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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Confirmed cases continue to rise, and Active cases now growing at 5.5% - so doubling every 13 days. Not good. It has picked up speed in last 2 days (from 4.7%). Hotspot management (containment + contact tracing + testing) needs to be much better.
The total confirmed cases are growing at just above 6% - according to different data sources. So doubling every 12 days.
The CGDR = 12.01%
7Day moving average trend shows an increase - for Daily Confirmed cases and Daily deaths.
Total confirmed cases and Total COVID deaths in hotspot countries and in India.
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Low but rising - India, Japan
2) High yet rising - UK, Canada
3) Stabilizing in most other countries.
Daily deaths and changes in daily deaths - across hotspot countries and in India.
Total cases = active + recovered + deaths
1) Countries that are yet to #FlattenTheCuve : US, UK, Russia, India, Canada, Brazil.....contd.
...(2) Becasue their Active cases are still growing.
Indian numbers are best understood by looking at individual states within the country. #StateHealth 5Day Moving Average of New Confirmed cases:
1) Alarming: MH, GJ, DL
2) Unusually high number of new cases: TN, PB, HR,
Total cases = active + recovered + deaths
1) Exponential growth: MH, GJ, PB, WB
2) Improving: RJ, AP, TS, JK, KA
3) Second wave: DL, TN, HR
4) Good recovery: KL
Confirmed COVID positive per 100 tests:
1) High & rising (most troubling): this means that containment+contact tracing is failing & need LOT more tests: MH, GJ
2) Persistently high (troubling, infection not declining): DL, MP
3) Low Testing despite high infection: WB, TS (why?!)
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Gujarat, Maharashtra, Delhi and Madhya Pradesh driving all India death rate.
2) GJ & MH have death rates more than 4 times national average.
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