Profile picture
, 6 tweets, 2 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
HILO: Hay mas muertes por Covid de los que dice el gobierno Mexicano? Casi seguro que si. Hoy salieron dos notas importantes sobre el tema en la prensa internacional.
@jmontesWSJ reviso 105 actas de defunción en varios registros civiles de la CDMX. Encontró esto: Solo cuatro personas habían muerto oficialmente por Covid, porque se sometieron a prueba. Pero 52 murieron sospechosos de la enfermedad.
A esos no les hicieron prueba, entonces no entran al conteo oficial. Aunque la muestra nuestra es pequeña, sugiere que para cada caso oficial de muerte a Covid, puede haber muchos, muchos más que no están entrando en la cifra oficial - una cifra negra brutal.
El gobierno de Mexico tiene ya un conteo de casos "probables" de defunción de Covid, pero solo tienen 245 para todo el Pais hasta el jueves. Nosotros encontramos 52 en solo dos días en varios registros civil.
Aqui esta la nota. wsj.com/articles/death… via @WSJ
El NYT (la competencia!) también publico un gran articulo que igual sugiere que Mexico tiene un sub-registro brutal de muertos de Covid. nytimes.com/2020/05/08/wor…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with David Luhnow

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @davidluhnow see all

Profile picture
David Luhnow
@davidluhnow
THREAD: Because Mexico takes a year (!) to publish mortality data, @jmontesWSJ pored over death certificates in Mexico City to see if Mexico was undercounting Covid deaths. The short answer: yes. wsj.com/articles/death… via @WSJ
He obtained 105 death certificates filed over two days. Only four had Covid as the official cause of death. 52 more had "suspected Covid" or similar written next to official cause acute respiratory infection. But those aren't counted as official deaths by the gov't.
It's a small sample size, yes, but it suggests that for every official case of Covid death in Mexico, there could be many, many more unaccounted for. Mexico does very little testing, and is missing testing even of some who die. Hard to gauge real extent of pandemic.
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
David Luhnow
@davidluhnow
THREAD: Mexico’s coronavirus czar @HLGatell told us some surprising things in an interview this week. Among them: He is not convinced the virus is any more lethal than the flu.
wsj.com/articles/senio… via @WSJ
He also said he expected that while two-thirds of Mexicans will eventually catch the virus, just 0.5% will get sick enough in some way to notice. Of the 0.5% who get sick, eight in ten would be mild cases.
His numbers: 0.5% of 127 million are 635,000 sick, some 95,000 will need hospital care, and an additional 32,000 need intensive care -- over the course of the pandemic.
Read 10 tweets
Profile picture
David Luhnow
@davidluhnow
THREAD: Some politicians and folks on the left in US, Europe and Latam wonder if what is happening in Venezuela is a coup against de facto President Nicolas Maduro. Let’s use an analogy that might help.
Imagine a world where US President Donald Trump stacked the Supreme Court and other institutions with political hacks. The midterms come, and Democrats win a resounding 2/3 majority in Congress. Stunned, Trump gets courts to declare Congress null and void, ignores its decisions.
Trump then creates another Congress, filled with his own supporters, to pass laws. When there are street protests against this, he sends out National Guard to crack down. More than 100 are killed by security forces. Thousands arbitrarily arrested.
Read 7 tweets

Embed code for your website

×
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!