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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total confirmed cases still rising, the rate of growth of Active cases is now 5% - so doubling every 14 days.
The CGDR = 11.63%
1) 7Day Moving average of Daily New Cases
2) 7Day Moving average of Daily deaths
Look at the couple of unusually bad days we had last week.
The growth rate of total cases - by different data sources. Doubling every 12 days. @JHUSystems @WHO @ECDC_Outbreaks
1) Total confirmed cases in hotspot countries (>100K cases) and in India.
2)Total COVID deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths) and in India.
How is global recovery?
0) China: No changes in data for many weeks. Non-credible.
1) Good: Germany, S Korea, Iran
2) Slow: Spain, Italy & France (slower)
3) Yet to show overall recovery - US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India...contd.
..because they (US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India) are still facing increase in ACTIVE cases.
4)Iran is showing an increase in active cases after months of reported recovery.
5)Germany too has seen an increase in last few days after consistent recovery.
Changes in growth rate of ACTIVE cases in countries (>10K active cases):
1) Falling (good): India, Russia, Canada, UAE...
2) Increasing (bad): Brazil, Pakistan, Qatar, Iran, Sweden...
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Low: India, Japan, S Korea
2) High & rising: Belgium, UK, Sweden, US, Canada.
How are Indian states doing? #StateHealth
1)Alarming: MH contributing 33% of India cases. Recovery dwarfed by active cases.
2)Rising cases, rising recovery: DL,TN & GJ (with large deaths
3)Improving:RJ, MP, UP, AP, TS,JK,KA
4)Infection spreading east: OD, BR, CH, JH,TR
5)Good: KL
Where are new cases coming from? 5Day moving average:
1) Very large increases: MH out of control.
2) Big increases: GJ, TN, DL
3) Increase: RJ, MP, UP and WB
4) Infection spreading eastwards: BR, OD, CH, JH, TR
Are states testing enough? Confirmed positive cases per 100 tests:
1) High and rising: MH, GJ - need MUCH more contact tracing & testing.
2) Persistently high: DL - need more contact tracing & testing
3) High and declining: MP, PB, WB - need to get further ahead of infection.
COVID death rate per million people across states of India:
1) GJ & MH - more than 4x all India death rate.
2) States driving India’s COVID death rate: GJ, MH, DL, MP, WB
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