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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total COVID cases are 70,768.
Growth rate of ACTIVE cases is 4.9% - so doubling every 14 days.
Total cases, total deaths and growth rates - according to different data sources. @WHO @ECDC_Outbreaks @JHUSystems
7Day Moving average:
1) Daily COVID cases
2) Daily COVID deaths (declines for the first time!) 🤞
The CGDR = 11.57%
1) Total cases in hotspot countries (>100K cases) and in India.
2) Total deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths) and in India.
Changes in growth rate of ACTIVE cases:
1) Falling (good): India, Russia, Brazil, Peru, US, Singapore....
2) Rising (bad): Pakistan, Qatar, Iran, Belgium...
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Low: India, Japan, SKorea
2) High and rising: Sweden, US, Canada, UK, Belgium...
3) Stabilizing in most countries.
Daily deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths) and in India.
Recovery across countries:
1) Good: Germany, S Korea, Iran (small increase in active cases recently in all 3).
2) Slow: Italy, Spain and France (slower - with more active cases).
3) Yet to show OVERALL recovery: US, UK, Brazil, Russia, India...because..
...their ACTIVE cases are still rising (BR, US, UK, Russia, India).
Moving to #StateHealth -how are our states doing?
1)MH has 33% of all India COVID cases. ACTIVE cases still growing exponentially. Relatively few recoveries.
2)GJ: growing recoveries, large deaths, with early flattening of ACTIVE cases.
3)TN, DL: rising ACTIVE cases, recoveries.
Where are new cases coming from?
1) Mostly from MH > TN > GJ, DL > MP, RJ > UP, WB >.....
2) Infection spreading to eastern states: BR, OD, JH
Are states testing enough? Positive cases per 100 tests:
1)Rising prevalence (infection ahead of states): MH, GJ, TN, PB, BR-more contact tracing+testing
2)Falling prevalence (states ahead of infection): AP, RJ, UP, KA, HR,JK,KL,CT,JH,AS,HP
3)High prevalence: DL,MP,WB (more CT+T)
Growth rate of ACTIVE cases across states:
1) Falling (good): HR, PB, TN, GJ (signs of early flattening)
2) Rising (bad): KA, BR
3) Zero growth (sign of flattening): JK, AP, UP....MP (but it has high infection prevalence rate according to testing data).
COVID death rate per million people across states:
1) Far too many deaths: GJ, MH
2) States driving all-India death rate: WB, MP, DL, MH, GJ
3) For similar case loads, look at the difference in death rates of GJ & TN.
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