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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total cases are 85,784 and ACTIVE cases are now growing at 3.6% - so doubling every 19 days.
Total cases, total deaths and growth rate of total cases - according to different data sources:
1) Total cases doubling 15 days (@JHUSystems )
2) Total cases doubling in 14 days (@WHO @ECDC_EU )
7Day Moving average of:
1) Daily cases
2) Daily deaths
The CGDR = 11.31%
1) Total cases in hotspot countries (>100K cases) and in India (85,784).
2) Total COVID deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths) and in India (2753).
How are countries recovering?
1) Good recovery: Germany, S Korea, Iran (but active cases now growing again).
2) Slow: Italy, Spain and slower in France.
3) Yet to show overall recovery: US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India...because their active cases are still rising.
ACTIVE cases across countries:
1) Still rising: US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India
2) Falling in major hotspot countries, Japan, S Korea
3) Iran: rising significantly again...after many weeks of steady reduction. Second wave.
How are ACTIVE cases growing?
1) Gathering speed: Bangladesh, Iran, Sweden, Brazil, Chile
2) Slowing down: India, Russia, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Singapore...
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Low and growing slowly: India, Japan.... stabilizing in S Korea.
2) High and growing: Belgium, UK, Sweden, US, Canada.
3) Stabilizing in most countries.
Daily COVID deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths) and in India.
How are Indian states doing? #StateHealth
1)MH: 34% of cases, recovery⬆️ but dwarfed by⬆️ in active cases.
2)TN: 11.8% of cases, big⬆️ in active cases, recovery⬆️
3)GJ: 11.6% of cases, big recoveries.
4)Recovery is growing in most states.
5)Signs of second wave: RJ, MP, KA, TS.
How are active cases growing?
1) Rising speed: KL, BR, MP, RJ (signs of new wave).
2) Slowing down: OD, TN, MH, GJ, WB, DL, PB, HR..
Where are New cases coming from? 5 Day moving average of new cases:
1) Mostly MH (1500+) > TN & DL (400+) > GJ (300+) > RJ (200+) > MP & UP (150+)...
Are states testing enough? Confirmed positive cases per 100 tests (4% all India):
1)MH, GJ, BR, OD: infection prevalence rising. Need MUCH more contact tracing and testing.
2)DL: infection prevalence persistently high. Need more CT+T
3)TN, PB: struggling to get ahead using CT+T
COVID death rate per million people, across states of India:
1) GJ & MH: more than 4X all India.
2) DL: 2.6X all India and rising fast.
3) 5 states pulling all India mortality rate higher: WB, MP, DL, MH, GJ.
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