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US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking

Newly reported deaths
Today: 1,430
Yesterday: 786
One week ago (5/12): 1,543

Newly reported cases
T: 21K
Y: 20K
5/12: 21K

Newly reported tests
T: 399K
Y: 338K
5/12: 305K

Positive test rate
T: 5%
Y: 6%
5/12: 7%
Tuesdays are often quite bad as weekend reporting backlogs are cleared. But the past two Tuesdays have shown some improvement (1,430 and 1,543) after several Tuesdays in a row with 2,000+ deaths. We'll see what tomorrow and Thursday (also days that can produce bad numbers) bring.
Meanwhile, the positive test rate continues to decline. Over the past 7 days, it has been 6.2%, roughly half what the 7-day trailing average was on May 1 (12.1%). That may partly reflect more widespread availability of testing in the general population but still a good sign.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking

Newly reported deaths
Today: 989
Yesterday: 1,186
One week ago (5/23): 1,091

Newly reported cases
T: 23K
Y: 24K
5/23: 22K

Newly reported tests
T: 396K
Y: 492K
5/23: 366K

Positive test rate
T: 6%
Y: 5%
5/23: 6%
So, it's good to see the number of deaths below 1,000 (albeit barely). Saturdays are *not* particularly slow days for reporting since they mostly reflect what states were doing on Fridays (i.e. a weekday). This is the first Saturday with under 1,000 deaths reported since 3/28.
But, cases are up a tick from last Saturday, though the positive test rate is similar. Stay safe, everyone.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
US numbers via @COVID19Tracking:

Newly reported deaths
Today: 1,186
Yesterday: 1,353
One week ago (5/22): 1,280

Newly reported cases
T: 23K
Y: 23K
5/22: 24K

Newly reported tests
T: 493K
Y: 415K
5/22: 394K

Positive test rate
T: 5%
Y: 6%
5/22: 6%
The story continues to be one of slow, steady progress. The 7-day average death total has fallen for 21 days in a row. And cases have ticked downward a bit after plateauing last week, despite increased testing...in fact, there were a record number of tests today, almost 500K.
Remember, though, that these numbers are backward-looking. There has probably been enough time to say that the initial, slow, cautious re-openings that began in late April aren't likely to cause huge spikes. However, there has been much more relaxation of distancing since then.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking:

Newly reported deaths
Today: 1,353
Yesterday: 1,259
One week ago (5/21): 1,444

Newly reported cases
T: 23K
Y: 19K
5/21: 26K

Newly reported tests
T: 454K
Y: 285K
5/21: 417K

Positive test rate
T: 5%
Y: 7%
5/21: 6%
A bit in the eye of the beholder, but I'd say more good news than bad. Cases and deaths both up from yesterday, but down from last Thursday, meaning 7-day averages are down a bit. We don't seem to have gotten a big midweek glut because of reporting lags from the 3-day weekend.
Meanwhile, this is a record number of tests. We may not be far from breaking the 500K tests/day threshold one day soon. It's also a more robust number than before as several of the states that had been including antibody tests in their test totals have now discontinued doing so.
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