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The source of both my hope & despair right now is that I think there's growing evidence that if we internalize new behavioral changes - masks, handwashing, physical distancing - and gov't and employers ban mass gatherings we can maybe keep R around 1, maybe under for the summer.
BUT this really depends on all of us internalizing the behavioral changes, and making it a near universal part of our routines. This would be an amazing outcome if we can manage to get to some kind of a normal summer with these changes in place.
The source of my despair is the idea that for deeply stupid reasons a big part of the population will get the message to *not* change these behaviors and that we should have cart blanche to get back to "real normal" and that's gonna lead to a resurgence of the virus.
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