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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
(1) Total confirmed cases continue to rise. ACTIVE cases growing at 4.2% - so doubling in 17 days. Active cases have to stop rising for us to #FlattenTheCurve.
(2) How are TOTAL cases and ACTIVE cases growing?
(a) Total cases doubling in 13 days.
(b) Active cases doubling in 17 days. It was down to 23 days on 16th May.
(3) 7 Day moving averages:
(a) Daily cases
(b) Daily deaths
(4) The CDGR = 10.99%
(5) How are hotspot countries (>100K cases) doing?
(a) Total cases
(b) Total deaths
(6) How are countries recovering?
(a) Very well: Germany, S Korea
(b) Slowly: Italy, Spain and slower France
(c) Yet to recover: US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India ...since their active cases are still rising.
(d) Iran seeing big rise in active cases after weeks of strong recovery.
(7) How are Active cases changing?
(a) Peaked: Germany, Italy, Spain, France...S Korea, Japan..
(a) Yet to peak: US, UK, Russia, Brazil, India ...since their active cases are still rising.
(b) Iran: Big second wave - persistent rise in active cases after weeks of strong recovery
(8) COVID death rate per million people:
(a) Low and rising: India and Japan
(b) High and rising: UK, Sweden, US, Canada
(c) V high : Belgium... by far.
(9) How are states doing?
a)MH: 35% cases. Active cases rising significantly.
b)TN: 12% cases. Active cases slowing. Strong recovery.
c)GJ: 11% cases. Active cases slowing. Big recovery.
d)DL: 10% cases. Active cases growing. Big recovery.
e)#FlatteningTheCurve: AP, PB, KL, HR
(10) How are Active cases growing across states?
(a) Slowing: KL, OD, GJ
(b) Speeding: BR, KA, WB, UP
(11) Where are NEW cases coming from? 5Day moving average of new cases:
(a) MH: ~45% new cases (!!)
(b)TN > DL > GJ > UP > MP > RJ, BR > KA > WB...
(c) UNKNOWN: >1400 new cases unclaimed by any state...@ICMRDELHI ?
(12) How is testing (contact tracing) across states?
(a) TN has 1/3 cases as MH and does 1.2 times tests.
(b) Confirmed positive cases per 100 tests:
i) High & rising: MH, GL, TS - need LOT more
ii) Persistently high: DL - need more
iii) Low but rising: BR, OD - need more
(13) COVID death rate per million people across states of India:
(a) V high and rising: GJ, MH, DL
(b) Despite being a major hotspot in number of cases, TN has half all-India death rate; and 1/9 death rate of GJ,MH. Strong public health infrastructure?
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