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#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total cases continue to rise. Growth rate of ACTIVE cases = 4.9% - so doubling in 14 days.
1) Total cases growing at 5.3% - doubling in 13 days.
2) Active cases growing at 4.9% - doubling in 14 days.

The TOTAL cases and ACTIVE cases are now growing at similar rates. This means that RECOVERY == NEW cases.
The CDGR = 10.84%
1) Total cases in hotspot countries (>100K cases)
2) Total deaths in hotspot countries (>3000 deaths)
How are ACTIVE cases changing with time?
1) Rising speed: Chile, India, Egypt, Mexico, Indonesia...
2) Slowing down: Iran, Russia, US...
How are countries recovering?
1) V well : Germany, S Korea
2) Slow: Italy, Spain and slower France
3) Early signs of peaking: US, Russia
4) Yet to peak: India, Brazil, UK ...their ACTIVE cases are still rising.
5) Iran: Big second wave about to peak.
This is how ACTIVE cases are growing in hotspot countries, Japan & S Korea.
- You can see peaks (Germany, Italy, Spain, France...)
- Early signs of peak (US, Russia)
- no signs of peak (UK, India, Brazil, Peru)
COVID death rate per million people:
1) Low and rising: India, Japan
2) High and growing: UK, Sweden, US, Canada
3) Belgium: v high... by far
4) Stabilizing in most countries.
How are our states doing?
1)MH: Alarming! Rising share in total cases. Low recovery. Big deaths
2)TN: continuous rise in cases.Big recovery.Low deaths.
3)GJ: share in total cases falling.Big recovery.Big deaths
4)DL: Big recovery, big deaths
5)Several states facing big 2nd wave
How are ACTIVE cases changing?
1) Rising speed: KL, KA, DL, UP, TN, HR
2) Slowing down: BR, JK, MP, OD, GJ
3) V High and rising growth rate: KL - big second wave
Where are India's new cases coming from? 5Day moving average of daily new cases:
1)MH: alarming rise in new cases continues
2)Other major hotspots -TN, GJ, DL-new cases stabilising
3) Rising new cases:MP, WB, BR, HR, KL, UK, CT, CH, HP
4) States with low numbers: enforce CT+T now
Are states testing enough? Confirmed positive cases per 100 tests:
1)MH (v high!), GJ, DL: need MUCH more Contact tracing+Testing - infection prevalence is way ahead of knowledge!
2)TN, BR, OD - low but rising - need more CT+T to get ahead of infection
3) Low & ⬇️: Good
4) TS: ?!
COVID death rate per million people, across states of India:
1) V high: GJ, MH, DL
2) DL showing biggest rise @ArvindKejriwal
Should have been more explicit: When growth rate of total and active are similar - then the growth rate of new cases is similar to growth rate of recovery.
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