ShadowFall Profile picture
May 26, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
shadowfall.com/researchservic…
ShadowFall Fund is short BooHoo Plc (£BOO).
Since 2014, we believe that BOO has provided a misleading impression of its cumulative Free Cash Flow (FCF) by 67%. Most recently, in FY20, we believe BOO’s FCF was misrepresented by 65%. 1/5
Two weeks ago, BOO made a £198m cash call. We see a risk that BOO doesn’t use this for M&A, but instead combines it with its considerable £241m net cash, just to be paid to BOO’s Chairman’s son, through material dividends and a potential PrettyLittleThing (PLT) NCI buy-out. 2/5 Image
We question if PLT’s profit is boosted by another BOO entity “wearing” some of its costs. We calculate that this effective “profit boost” could result in an additional £193m paid to PLT’s NCI. We suppose, if not used on M&A, BOO’s recent £198m cash call could support this. 3/5
Meanwhile, BOO had better look out. The competition is heating up. BOO’s Chairman’s brother is the major shareholder in ISawItFirst. ISIF seems to have a virtually identical product offering to a same demographic. Key BOO & PLT personnel have even joined ISIF. 4/5
In 2017, PLT led ISIF by a ratio of 26:1 on Google searches in the UK. That lead has rapidly narrowed. If BOO buys out the Chairman’s son’s equity in PLT, then maybe ISIF is next in its cross hairs? After all, it did say it wanted to do more M&A. 5/5 Image

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More from @ShadowFallCR

Sep 30, 2021
This morning the Regulator of Social Housing @RSHEngland placed Falcon Housing Association CIC (Falcon) on its gradings under review list. Falcon is the 2nd largest tenant to Civitas Social Housing (Civitas) at c. 20% of the rent roll. ShadowFall is short Civitas. #CSH (1/4)
The announcement from the RSH follows the Regulatory Notice against Auckland Home Solutions published in early August. If Falcon were to be found non-compliant with Governance and Financial viability standards then c. 44% of rent in FY21 would be deemed non-compliant! (2/4)
Let’s not forget that we find: 1) Falcon has director overlap with Auckland, 2) The overlapping directors appear to own a property development company which has sold properties to Civitas, 3) Falcon’s accounts are unaudited and in our view, unreliable, and (3/4)
Read 4 tweets
Feb 11, 2021
ShadowFall is short Kerry Group ($KYG).
We found @theOntake note compelling, with it echoing several concerns we raised a while back. We view Kerry’s financial statements to be opaque and sometimes unreliable. Having read the latest findings, we’re more convinced of this. 1/6
To those that say this is old news, the truth is still the truth regardless of time. What we find interesting is that a fresh set of eyes has similar observations to us, with more recent information strengthening our view. 2/6
When we raised the flag on @Wirecard in 2015 then 2016, this was also largely dismissed as “nothing new”. The same occurred with subsequent reporting by @FFJ_report and @FD. Yet @Wirecard was just as much a fraud in 2015-19 as it was when it collapsed in 2020. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jan 14, 2021
ShadowFall is short Network International $NETW
Burkhard Ley (former Wirecard CFO): “I read through the 101-page [Zatarra] report . . . page by page. After that I knew that not a single allegation was correct.”
For us, the NETW response is reminiscent of the Ley defence. 1/6
Like dear Burkhard’s response in 2016, we believe NETW’s response doesn’t do investors justice after promising a full response. Despite saying not a single allegation was correct, Burkhard couldn’t provide one example to back up this claim. 2/6
Now from NETW “The [SF] report contains a number of factual inaccuracies”. Yet despite taking critique of the company seriously, it doesn’t provide one example to back up its claim, & instead moves from prior suggesting a “full response” to updating its FAQs. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jan 12, 2021
ShadowFall is short Temenos, $TEMN.
We’ve been short some time, it’s always surprised us that while the company spends significant amounts on R&D, it seems to us to be behind other technology companies on the transition to SaaS. 1/4
Whilst we’re on R&D, it’s never been clear to us where this goes. TEMN expensed USD 270m on R&D in FY19 & capitalised USD 65m. Presumably this is focused on India, since Temenos says R&D is conducted in India and its Indian employees broadly follow employees in R&D. 2/4
Further, its Indian subsidiary’s filings also say it performs development activities & 100% of its revenue is internal. But the Indian sub revenue was USD 64m with employee costs of USD 42m in FY19. We can’t help wonder where the rest is? 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Dec 23, 2020
ShadowFall is short Network International ($NETW). Report available to download from: shadowfall.com/researchservic…
Some of the Wirecard connections to NETW’s intended acquisition, DPO, are already known. However, we have found numerous links…. 1/7
Yes, DPO bought Acona from Dietmar Knöchelmann, who was subsequently convicted for money laundering & fraud. However, we also find that DPO has been audited by a former co-director to Knöchelmann. 2/7
As for DPO’s initial company secretary & Director, these are the same individuals connected to Greymountain Management, which is currently involved in an ongoing US CFTC court case regarding binary option scams.  3/7
Read 7 tweets
Nov 18, 2020
ShadowFall is short Blue Prism ($PRSM). shadowfall.com/researchservic…
We believe PRSM is being left behind by its peers in the highly competitive & commoditised RPA market. In our view, PRSM’s prospect of ever reaching meaningful profitability is low. 1/4
Meanwhile, PRSM’s key metrics appear to be worsening, such as revenue per average customer, the quality of its receivables, upsell rates, customer churn, while significant board churn and what we view as lack of appropriate independence we find also of concern. 2/4
We find consistent inconsistencies within the filings and company statements, whether it’s between the P&L & corresponding notes in the accounts, gaps in the main subsidiary filings or claims regarding its recent acquisition. 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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