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POBREZA: proyecciones preliminares 2020 ⬆️Pobreza a 29.5% (CI: 25.7 - 33.4) (nivel de 2010); ⬆️Informalidad a 75% (nivel de 2011); ⬇️Clase Media a 35% (nivel de 2011). ENAHO 2019, EPE 2020 y proy mensuales de crecimiento de Seminario, Palomino y Pastor (2020) y caída anual de 20%
Para el segundo trimestre se proyecta una tasa de 37% de pobreza, 34% en el tercer trimestre y 28% en el cuarto trimestre. Estudio en progreso con César Liendo. Excelente trabajo de Renzo Guzmán. En corchetes intervalo de confianza al 95%
A nivel departamental: incremento generalizado de la pobreza , pero el incremento no es homogéneo, depende de la distribución productiva y educativa de la región. Dependerá mucho de la rapidez de la recuperación económica. Rapidez asumida de Seminario, Palomino y Pastor (2020).
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