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M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
@mnolangray
May 29, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
#JusticeForGeorge ImageImage
#GeorgeFloyd ImageImageImage
I don't know who told the two officers to drive directly into the crowd but they almost lit a powder keg...
...a potentially very crazy situation, averted only by organizers stepping in.

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More from @mnolangray

M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Jul 2
SB 79 is live in Assembly Housing! Image
@Scott_Wiener cayimby.org/legislation/sb…
@Scott_Wiener Councilmember @JedLeano speaking in support! Image
Read 15 tweets
M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Jul 1
The impossible has become possible: we've passed a clean CEQA infill exemption. This is probably the most important thing California has done on housing in the present YIMBY moment. Image
I explain the significance of this historic win in this thread. 👇
If your Assemblymember and/or Senator voted AYE, please take a moment to CALL or EMAIL them to say THANKS! We need more courageous votes like this if we're going to end the California housing crisis!
Read 7 tweets
M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Jun 28
You've probably been hearing a lot about budget bills, environmental reviews, and labor fights out here on the West Coast. It's all adding up to probably the biggest policy change in modern California history. Here's a breakdown for the perplexed. Image
In 1970, California joined various states in mandating that all public projects undertake an environmental review, disclosing and mitigating impacts. This made sense amid a frenzy of freeways, urban renewal, etc. Thus, CEQA: the California Environmental Quality Act. Image
The enforcement mechanism was intuitive: if an environmental review should have been conducted and wasn't, or failed to study some relevant impact, or failed to undertake reasonable mitigation, nearly anyone could easily sue and force the issue. Image
Read 20 tweets
M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Mar 25
In my experience, asking developers what they think will get more housing built nearly gets you an answer tied to a specific cell on their most recent project proforma, e.g. drive down interest rates, lower fees, etc. It makes sense: this what they spend all day thinking about.
Asking a fish about water, etc. They build homes, they don't do policy. It's weird to expect them to center hard-to-quantify things like entitlement risk, or upstream determinants of inputs like land costs, which are increased by restrictive zoning.
Nor is the modal developer especially good at imagining what would make entirely new classes of development work, e.g. missing middle. Usually just a glib, "nobody builds that/will build that." Of course, that was true of ADUs before statewide California legalization.
Read 4 tweets
M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Aug 29, 2024
A big day in the legislature for pro-housing legislation! Three pieces of California YIMBY-sponsored legislation moved out of the second chamber. Combined with laws we've helped to pass in recent years, it will never be easier to build missing middle housing in California. 🧵 Image
Background: In 2021, California made history by adopting SB 9, which aimed to allow duplexes and lot splits. When combined with robust ADU law, the goal was to allow for up to four units on lots in residential areas—key for ending our shortage. Image
Unfortunately, a few bad actor cities found ways found ways to torpedo law with unworkable standards, and many more slow walked it, resulting in few duplexes or lot splits. Working with researchers and practitioners, we cataloged these issues.
ternercenter.berkeley.edu/research-and-p…
Read 17 tweets
M. Nolan Gray 🥑 Profile picture
Jul 23, 2024
It's important to remember that the idea of "expensive cities" and "affordable cities" is new. Historically, variation in home prices could be explained by variation in (a) incomes and (b) available flat land. Since 1960, variation in development regulation has changed that. 🧵
Image
Yes, home prices were always higher in wealthier SF and NYC and lower in poorer Columbus and OKC. But account for variation in incomes—and the fact that the former are hemmed in by oceans, and the latter are flat, featureless plains—and the variation was predictable. (And tiny!) Image
Where wages were high, a lot of people moved, and those places built a lot of housing. There were temporary crunches, usually brought on by war. But for the most part, moving to any given US city didn't entail spending a lot more of your income on housing. And so we moved—a lot! Image
Read 11 tweets

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