Update: following today's ONS figures and hospital data, a cautious estimate of the total number of UK excess deaths linked to coronavirus up to 9 June is
66,000
Of these, just over 63,700 have sadly happened, 2,300 are estimates to bring the official data up to date
1/
66,000
Of these, just over 63,700 have sadly happened, 2,300 are estimates to bring the official data up to date
1/
Why do I say cautious?
I estimate the ONS data relates approximately to deaths up to 25 May. Since then the department of health has said there were 3,510 deaths of those testing positive. I estimate only 2,202 over the same period of excess deaths.
2/
I estimate the ONS data relates approximately to deaths up to 25 May. Since then the department of health has said there were 3,510 deaths of those testing positive. I estimate only 2,202 over the same period of excess deaths.
2/
There is some emerging evidence of a change in patterns of death registrations as the numbers return to more normal levels.
And some of the additional people who have died during the pandemic were frail and might have died in this period anyway.
3/
And some of the additional people who have died during the pandemic were frail and might have died in this period anyway.
3/
The good news is that the number of deaths is declining steadily.
The bad news is that, directly or indirectly, this pandemic has killed almost 1 in every 1,000 people in the UK even with an unprecedented lockdown.
ENDS
The bad news is that, directly or indirectly, this pandemic has killed almost 1 in every 1,000 people in the UK even with an unprecedented lockdown.
ENDS
