V GOOD
Linc Pen &Plast: sales down 5% but ebidta up 48%, margins 11% vs 7%, pat 5 cr vs 1 cr (15x)
7 years sales 300 to 400 cr
Margins 5% to 10%
Cfo highest in 2019
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Phuus
Raymond: sales down 30%, ebidta loss of 7 cr vs profit of 167 cr (1.3 d/e)
Venky’s India: sales down 20%, ebidta loss of 118 cr vs profit of 60 cr
Shakti Pumps: sales down 41%, ebidta loss of 3 cr vs profit of 28 cr
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Phuus
NGL Fine Chem: sales down 18%, ebidta down 78%, reports net loss (15x)
6.5% margins from 26% reported in March 2017
Fermenta Biotec: ebidta down 69%, pat down 92%
Majestic Auto: sales down 66%, net loss of 28 cr
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Good
Mayur Uniquoters: sales up 2.5%, ebidta up 16%, margins at 25% vs 22% (27% roce, 11 p/e)
Welspun India: ebidta up 20%; reports at profit of 86 cr vs loss of 80 cr (6.3 p/e, 1.25 x pb)
CESC: sales up 5%, ebidta up 18% (6x)
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Good
Assoc.Alcohols: sales up 14%, ebidta up 55%, pat up 87% (11x)
Thangamayil Jew: ebidta up 14%, pat up 20% (8x)
Mangalam Drugs: sales up 83%, ebidta 7 cr vs nill,, pat at 5 cr vs loss of 6 cr
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Not Bad
Force Motors: sales down 38% but ebidta up 1.5% (margins at 11.3% Vs 6.8%), PAT down 83% due to one-off (12x p/e)
Indian Hume Pipe: sales down 23% but margins at 14.5% vs 12% (20% roce, 10x p/e)
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Weak
Minda Ind: sales down 10%, ebidta down 35%; margins at 9.1% Vs 12.5% (33x p/e, 4.2 p/b)
NOCIL: EBITDA down 40%; OPM at 17.07% vs 25%; PAT down 40%
Orient Refractories: ebidta down 20%, pat down 26% (22x p/e, 40% roce)
All results declared on 29th June 2020 #excelgiri
Weak
Elgi Equipments: ebidta down 56%, PAT down 97% (30x p/e, 3x p/b)
Parag Milk: sales down 20%, pat down 67% (7.5x p/e)
Emami Paper: ebidta down 18%, margins 11.3% vs 14.2%, net loss of 31 cr
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Few of my learnings as an investor in 2022. A thread. 🧵
1) Investing is simple but not easy. It is very hard to become a long-term investor. Sometimes, it can be a lonely road especially when your hypothesis gets tested again and again
cont..
2)Watching the screen and trying to assess daily moves can be hugely unproductive if you are a long-term investor. Lot of people sell great businesses looking at the screen
General Q: Why talks of US banning Russia oil imports?
Simple Answer: US does not get impacted economically
Sadly, it is about politics over peace talks/ effort
Fact check: US imports only 3% oil from Russia
US Oil imports from Russia in 2021, at $4.71 billion, is a 45% decline from a decade ago.
Fact check: Now, let us look at US oil exports which increased almost 3,000% due to increase in domestic production brought on by fracking + ended 4-decade-long ban on oil exports, dating back to the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973.
PS: Use ur own wisdom, view on results can vary person to person. I am still learning
Strong results
Ramco Cement
Ebidta/ tonne near 2000
Sales down 4.4% yoy, Ebidta up 49% yoy, Pat up 42% yoy
Volume miss; realisations spiked 17% YoY (a major surprise)
Jefferies: raise FY21 EPS by 60%, retain Rs1,000 PT
TTM PE at 35, 12% roce
Strong results with reasonable valuations
Coromandel Int
Sales down 5% yoy but up 43% qoq
Ebidta up 18% yoy, up 104% qoq
Pat up 17% yoy, up 135% qoq
TTM PE at 16x, 25% roce