Thread by @Anto_Kenyan

Previously, it took 4 months to get the first 1 million,
Now, it only took 1 week to add another million to reach 11mn.
At this rate (with ineffective government interventions), by September we could be hitting a million a day!

We had 500,000 deaths within 10mn covid+ cases.
A ratio of 1:20 (1 death for every 20 covid+)
At a rate of 1mn cases per day, we might have 50,000 deaths per day.
Hallmarks of Doomsday!

This however, will be heavily skewed to the global epicentres (65+% of global covid+ cases):
1. US
2. Brazil
3. India
4. Russia
5. Mexico
6. Venezuela
7. Peru
8. South Africa

We could blame politicization of the pandemic in some instances like the US and Brazil bt in countries like South Africa and India (where they have been on level 4/3 lockdown throughout), its difficult to identify the logic behind the spike in cases.

Possible clues that attribute to the surge in covid+ cases (despite lockdowns) are the social inequalities that exposes clusters of population to points of virus contact:
*Urban housing
*Household demographics
*Public transport
*Income inequalities
*Mass testing capabilities

The social inequalities fall under the following risk index:
*Enclosed spaces
*Duration of interaction
*Density of people (challenge for social distancing)
*Forceful exhalation (coughing, sneezing, singing, yelling)

The lesson:
Lockdowns are only an effective solution to isolate a cluster of population. Once it spreads to the community, it gets out of hand.