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All cause excess mortality is the most accurate pandemic measure... so how are the states doing? Here's the latest from CDC.
cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
First: worse than the national total.
Now, better than the national total.

Note that less than 100% excess deaths means all-cause deaths are lower than in a typical year.
That 102% nationally means we're at 26K excess deaths. Now there's some lag, but that still means a lot of the dashboard COVID death count are people CDC expected to die anyway.
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Phil Kerpen
@kerpen
It is not safe to keep schools closed.
Summary from the American Academy of Pediatrics, the principal medical society for 67,000 pediatricians.
services.aap.org/en/pages/2019-…
According to an EdChoice/Morning Consult poll, the number one concern parents presently have about education is missing instruction time. This is a concern of 80 percent of parents.
Read 54 tweets
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Phil Kerpen
@kerpen
Netherlands: "Based on reports from municipal public health services (GGDs), children aged 0-17 years only represent 1.3% of all reported patients with COVID-19, although they comprise 20.7% of the population."
"Since 1 June 2020, all Dutch people with (mild) symptoms can be tested for the coronavirus. Data from the GGD test lanes show that more than 16,500 tests were administered to children up to 12 years of age between 1 and 25 June; 0.3% of those tests were positive. "
"More than 4,800 tests were administered to children between the ages of 13 and 18 years, and 1.4% were positive."
Read 18 tweets
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Phil Kerpen
@kerpen
The American Academy of Pediatric *finally* weighs in on schools.

"the AAP strongly advocates that all policy considerations for the coming school year should start with a goal of having students physically present in school."

services.aap.org/en/pages/2019-…
"Lengthy time away from school and associated interruption of supportive services often results in social isolation, making it difficult for schools to identify and address important learning deficits as well...
...as child and adolescent physical or sexual abuse, substance use, depression, and suicidal ideation. This, in turn, places children and adolescents at considerable risk of morbidity and, in some cases, mortality."
Read 14 tweets

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