Our forecasting model currently gives Joe Biden a 9 in 10 chance of winning the election in November. But what might a Joe Biden presidency look like? A thread (1/7) econ.trib.al/o80ClNO
Joe Biden is viewed with some suspicion from the left. He has always sat close to the Democratic Party's ideological centre, and has shifted his opinions on abortion and busing (2/7) econ.trib.al/3TpmuXk 
But many of Joe Biden's policy plans are quietly radical. He wants to introduce a public option for healthcare, which would bring America within touching distance of universal healthcare (3/7) econ.trib.al/ZUyvSgu
Joe Biden also wants to pass legislation that would bind America to reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. This would go well beyond Barack Obama's climate achievements (4/7) econ.trib.al/ZUyvSgu
A Joe Biden White House would also re-engage America in multilateral foreign policy, with a focus on climate change and arms control (5/7) econ.trib.al/3TpmuXk
A simple Senate majority won't be enough to make such reforms. But Mr Biden says he is hopeful for a Republican 'epiphany' that might make bipartisanship possible (6/7) econ.trib.al/3TpmuXk
For more of our coverage of the presidential race, explore our guide to America's 2020 elections. Bookmark this page to stay up to date on what matters throughout the campaign (7/7) econ.trib.al/HYMYzPn
