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1/ There is no mystery in the number of Americans dying from COVID-19—and why. Those who don’t want COVID-19 to be the terrible crisis that it is have clung to the idea that more cases won’t mean more deaths. But that’s not true, @alexismadrigal reports. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
2/ Deaths are rising again: The seven-day average for deaths per day has now jumped by more than 200 since July 6, according to our COVID Tracking Project, which compiles the latest numbers on tests, cases, hospitalizations, and patient outcomes in the U.S.theatlantic.com/health/archive…
3/ America’s deadly summer coronavirus surge is undeniable, @alexismadrigal writes. And it was predictable this whole time by looking honestly at the data. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
4/ The U.S. now stands out as nearly the only country besides Iran that had a large spring outbreak, began to suppress the virus, and then simply let the virus come back. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
5/ The deaths are not happening in unpredictable places or in an unpredictable amount of time after the new outbreaks emerged, @alexismadrigal points out. The rising deaths have followed rises in cases and in hospitalizations in some of the Sun Belt states that rushed to reopen.
6/ @AmandaMull warned of the dangers of data lags in May, writing that states might not see the effects of reopening too soon for weeks: “In order to make everyday decisions...people have to live simultaneously in the past, present, and future.” theatlantic.com/health/archive…
7/ Back in March, when tests were scarce, “there was only one way to know the severity of the outbreak: counting the dead,” @yayitsrob and @alexismadrigal wrote.

This time, rising case numbers should have tipped us off to a second surge in deaths. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
8/ Understanding the regional variation of the American outbreak is crucial. As @EdYong209 laid out in May, the pandemic in America is not one crisis, but many interconnected ones, making it harder to bring to heel. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
9/ New York City, which has lost 23,353 lives, will probably remain the worst-case scenario. A similar scenario across the South and West would kill over 550,000 more Americans in just a few months. theatlantic.com/health/archive…
10/ “The country cannot get back to normal with a highly transmissible, deadly virus spreading in our communities. There will be no way to just ‘live with it,'” @alexismadrigal writes.theatlantic.com/health/archive…
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