Let's dispel the notion that other countries did a better job than the US in coronavirus response. Comparing the US to most other countries is comparing watermelons to apples. The US is huge, and each area have their own curve (1/x).
The NE region had their curve and got done with it. Now it is the South. Across the states, what predicts the shape and timing of the curve the best is where they are located. When or if a state locked down seems to have made little or no effect. (2/x)
Compare SoCal to Georgia. One stayed locked down for much longer, but they both flared up around the same time. Somehow it seems like latitude is more important than when or if a state locked down. (3/x)
Because the US is so big, different areas are having their peaks at different times, resembling an uncontrolled outbreak. The only country as big as the US which seems to have contained is China, but only with extreme measures not possible in any democratic country. (4/x)
What is even more interesting is that most states in middle latitudes, despite very different lockdown policies, are having very similar curves. Interestingly, most of those curves resemble the second curve in the graph in the quoted tweet. (5/x)
These all point to some seasonality effect, whatever the mechanism. Maybe not in the way previously believed (eg., Summer will be low). Regardless, lockdowns are not making any difference. (6/6)
