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1/ Interview of @CebmOxford

"By all means people can wear masks but they can’t say it’s an evidence-based decision… there is a real separation between an evidence-based decision and the opaque term that ‘we are being led by the science’, which isn’t the evidence."
2/ "Many people said that we should have locked down earlier, but 50% of care homes developed outbreaks during the lockdown period so there are issues within the transmission of this virus that are not clear… Lockdown is a blunt tool..."
3/ "If you follow the New Zealand policy of suppressing it to zero and locking down the country forever, then you’re going to have a problem… I cannot see a strategy that makes suppression the viable option. The strategy right now should be how we learn to live with this virus."
4/ “We will be down about where we were with the swine flu: around 0.1-0.3% which is much lower than what we think because at the moment we are seeing the case fatality."

by @freddiesayers

unherd.com/thepost/oxford…
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Aaron Ginn
@aginnt
1/ Dr. John Ioannidis interview:

"A country should be locked down not a minute longer than absolutely necessary. We have to keep assessing its risk-benefit calculus, making sure we’re measuring the denominator accurately, and finding vulnerable and not vulnerable sub-groups."
2/ "The corollary of having high-risk groups is that there must be low-risk groups...We can’t treat everyone as 'high risk' because then the high risk won’t get the extra attention and care they deserve."
3/ "in our approach to controlling coronavirus we made no distinction between teenagers partying on beaches in Florida and debilitated, frail residents living in congested nursing homes in NYC. Our uniform approach was neither scientific nor safe."
Read 5 tweets
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Aaron Ginn
@aginnt
1/ "As we consider how to deal with resurgent numbers of COVID cases, we must acknowledge that mitigation measures like shelter-in-place and lockdowns appear to have contributed to the death toll."
2/". The orders were issued by states and localities in late March; excess deaths peaked in the week ending April 11. Reopening began in mid-April, and by May 20 all states started to lift restrictions. In June, as the economy continued reopening, excess deaths waned."
3/ city-journal.org/deadly-cost-of…
Read 3 tweets
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Aaron Ginn
@aginnt
1/ Houston, TX hospital capacity update:

“What you’ve been hearing is a report that we are at 97% or so capacity...Exactly one year ago, it was at 95%. It is completely normal for us to have ICU capacities that run in the 80s - 90s. That’s how all of us operate hospitals...”
2/ "The capacity that’s being reported is base capacity … we have the ability to go far higher than that in terms of the ICU beds....We are seeing younger patients, we are seeing a shorter length of stay, we are seeing lower immortality, and we are seeing lower ICU utilization."
3/"People need to come to the hospital or emergency department to receive care and not allow bad things to happen to them because they are somehow inaccurately afraid of coming to the hospitals. That’s a very key message.”
Read 6 tweets

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