Xi Jinping is the most powerful CCP leader in the past 40 years. The fact that he has steadily been able to place his people at the top of all China's core intelligence agencies, as well as over the propaganda & thought work xitong is a sign of his political strength. However, 1/
...it is not a guarantee of absolute control of the security agencies, who have been seeded from top to bottom by the allies of Xi’s rivals in the CCP, & in any case, by design, operate by their own rules. 2/
The CCP’s concept of national security has significantly changed under Xi. It now incorporates the security of all aspects of China’s political, social & economic life, including its culture, science/technology, ecology, resources, & nuclear capabilities. 3/
Xi’s position at the top of multiple intelligence-related policy groupings means that there is a much higher level of policy coordination & policy prioritisation on covert activities than ever before. 4/
China has a vast number of personnel engaged in intelligence-gathering, counter-surveillance, & espionage, & likely has more professional intelligence agents operating overseas than any other country, from sleeper agents (沉底鱼) to those sent abroad for short missions. 6/
CCP espionage frequently uses the cover of journalism, academia, business links, government-to-government exchanges, CCP officials’ “study tours” abroad, think tank partnerships, city-to-city “friendship” links, academic conferences, & proxy diaspora organisations.
CCP intelligence operations have always cooperated with secret societies, triads, & criminal gangs. The doyen of China Watchers, Pierre Ryckmans observed: the CCP “is in essence a secret society. In its methods & mentality it presents a striking resemblance to an underworld mob”.
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This year, for the first time ever, 🇨🇳registered 26 Chinese People's Armed Police Force Coast Guard vessels to operate in the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission Convention Area.
It is also the area of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd island chains. My latest @Diplomat_APAC 🧵
China’s Coast Guard, a grey-zone maritime security force, will soon legally be allowed to board any foreign fishing vessels on the high seas in the 1rst, 2nd and 3rd island chains.
From June this year, China will have the third largest maritime security presence patrolling throughout the whole of the Pacific, after the U.S and Australia.
The @CSIS Frozen Frontiers report uses satellite imagery to raise media interest in China's Arctic/Antarctic agenda. Few of the facts are new, ie it's old news about China's Antarctic base on Inexpressible Island being in the flight path of US McMurdo Base features.csis.org/hiddenreach/ch…
@CSIS Different materials will reach different audiences. But it is concerning to see basic facts wrong. The PRC was not excluded from joining the Antartic Treaty in 1981. The agreement on environmental protection in Antarctica won't be automatically renegotiated in 2048.
@CSIS China started building its 5th Antarctic base on Inexpressible Island in 2015, but building slowed due to China's financial problems, then Covid. The restarting of base building again was announced in the PRC media.
*Image credit, A Brady, China as a Polar Great Power (2017)