"purely legal thing" and "own sweet time" got me thinking. Quick thread. So the idea that if you're rich, you must have made your money illegally is widely accepted in India and with valid reason. But I think things have changed post 2008.
First, let's take the Nifty as a proxy. In market cap, the HDFC and Bajaj Group have moved past the Tata Group (ex TCS) and the Birlas. Have HDFC and Bajaj Group also made all their wealth illegally? I don't think so because...
..I think the market now knows "chor promoter" very well. This is 2020 not 2000. Clean portfolios are now very popular and have got hundreds of crores in AUMs. (There's also ESG globally but leave that be). But...
..then you will say what about Seth? Reliance is still #1. This is tricky because investing US$40bn+ in a screwed sector takes some risk appetite (and like the Beatles sang with a little help from friends). Not every promoter has it in him. Also...
...the FBs, General Atlantics and Googles of the world have now invested in Reliance so I think things have changed for RIL from the heydays of 1990s. Ok so this was family business...
Second, let's move to non-family businesses or call them merit-based. Now merit itself is a myth because there are elite education clubs in India and - more importantly - there's also caste. Caste alone is a massive entry barrier. But that's a different topic.
So merit-based wealth is the story of the past decades. Infy, Wipro, etc started it with ESOPs and that alone made multiple crorepatis. The listed BFSI sector continued it with ESOPs that have similarly created crorepatis. IT and BFSI sectors have created a lot of wealth. Legit.
Then you have salaries. My guess is average white collar senior level salaries have grown a bit faster than inflation for the past few decades mainly because of lack of talent in India. Again a separate topic.
And finally, startups. Startups have created enormous wealth for an entire generation of founders and employees post 2010 and will continue to do so. Are all these founders also illegal? I hope not.
So then why this hatred towards the rich? I think some bit of this is global (hate the rich is a popular theme thanks to inequality) and but the problem in India is two fold. First...
...is that if you're rich you have to hide your LEGIT wealth else the Government will tax you. This hasn't changed much, has it? A founder has to pony up some 20%+ (or is it more?) of his capital gains. C Suite pays pretty high income tax.
Second, and this is #anecdata so forgive me, the new generation doesn't see being rich as a priority. The pursuit of wealth isn't as important as work-life balance. Well, this I think is misguided because...
....some of the wealthy were very poor to begin with. "I've seen poverty and I never want to be poor in my life" is a recurring theme. It takes a crazy level of burning ambition to build a business and become rich. See, that's the thing...
Becoming rich is a side-show, it's an effect, not a cause. At the centre, is your own talent and a burning desire to build something. Almost all rich people share that one thing in common. Fin.
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My ex-boss. I remember him. I looked up to him. Until one fine day he turned out to be a bigot. Of course he became bolder after...well you know when. And he found he had good company. Over time, I went silent on that WhatsApp group. And now that group has gone silent as fuck.
Then there are people I looked up to on Twitter from back in the day. I've been here long enough. Yeah, I un-followed most of them. There is this one markets guy but I muted him yesterday because, well, he was muted in past few days except for platitudes.
When we first logged on Twitter back in the 2007/2008, a few of us even started a campaign called Voteyatra - to get people to vote. This was a few years after the great @sidin had made a bold attempt at indie media with Hafta which was after blogging great @amitvarma had great success with India Uncut.
My name and address were used for a loan, without my knowledge or consent. I am now being chased by @MobiKwik to repay this loan. Here's what happened.
On 13th March, a CIBIL enquiry for a loan was done on my account by Whizdm Finance. My mistake to have ignored it then.
On 13th March, a loan of Rs30K was originated by Transactree, the company that runs @lendboxin. This loan went on my name with my address and mobile number taken from CIBIL.
Markets are at all-time highs. I think this is why. Thread.
Three things are getting 'factored in' (fancy word for assumed) by investors: a) Modi 350+ in May 2024 b) India GDP at 7%+ for foreseeable future and c) US Fed rate cuts (and RBI) start next year. These are big assumptions.
What can go wrong? If any of the previous three assumptions do not happen. But talking of what can go wrong, take a few steps and look at the past 4 years..