Syed Ali Zia Jaffery Profile picture
Jul 21, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
18 pages into this interesting study on DPRK by @PerkovichG and @toby_dalton ,I find this point very logical: "Trading some compliance uncertainty for comprehensiveness up front seems worthwhile to build a
broad foundation for the second stage of verified capping to follow." Image
“Permitting” ongoing nuclear and missile activities like this would be politically very hard
to swallow in Washington, Seoul, Tokyo, and probably also in Beijing."

Well, a state doesn't require permission from other states to take decisions in its interest.
retaining CD would be
a necessary condition for North Korea to decide to eliminate nuclear
weapons. The DPRK also would likely continue producing and perhaps
even selling ballistic missiles for conventional military use up to some
agreed range and payload limit.

Fair point!
"Any imagined institution or procedure for enforcing nuclear disarmament must either utilize the UN Security Council or devise a plausible path around it."
" The primary onus must be on the nine states that possess nuclear
weapons, and allies that may depend on the nuclear deterrence extended to them."

Without a shadow of doubt. For starters, review the baskets of threats that the US wants to deter through nukes.

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More from @syedalizia1992

Feb 6, 2022
The joint statement released after @ImranKhanPTI 's visit to China is long, well-worded, and meaningful, to say the least.
As per the statement, PM Khan was invited by the Chinese leadership. This, in and of itself, refutes the impression created by certain people.
"The Prime Minister appreciated the Chinese Government for excellent and meticulous arrangements and congratulated China for hosting the games in a streamlined, safe and splendid manner. " The lines about the Olympics that follow this are very interesting.
Read 17 tweets
Sep 9, 2021
I have serious issues with this @MarkeyDaniel piece in @ForeignAffairs, not least because it is rife with the usual set of allegations against Pakistan. politics-dz.com/en/americas-pe…
.@MarkeyDaniel writes:"it helped birth the group in the 1980s...."

Two issues with this. One, The Taliban were not created in the 1980s. Also, all Mujahideen did not join the ranks of the Taliban in the 1990s.
Two, even if we, for a minute, agree with Markey's assertion, we cannot forget Pakistan's senior partner in the '1980s'.

Thus, the statement is incorrect in more ways than one.
Read 12 tweets
Apr 26, 2021
Looking forward to this webinar on South Asia's nuclear history. It starts at 11. @Rabs_AA @adilsultan
West's is a perspective of Nonproliferation, so it is important to look at Washington's non-proliferation policy, says @Rabs_AA.
India's nuclear test hardly came as a surprise to Pakistan; it had a direct bearing on Pakistan, says Dr.Akhtar.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 19, 2021
This @Rabs_AA piece is not a digital warriors' delight because it neither bashes certain factions nor extols the others. It asks some tough questions of the Taliban and the U.S., a country that has let them run scot-free. pakistanpolitico.com/afghanpeace/
The Taliban, according to the author, must be pushed to share their vision ,their framework for Afghanistan. No free passes for them, please. The Taliban, as the author says, must show the world that they have changed.
That Afghanistan does want to be ruled by TB is reason enough to ask of them as to what their strategy is to win hearts and minds of 34 million Afghans, rightly says @Rabs_AA .
Read 8 tweets
Apr 7, 2021
@Rabs_AA hosted @seb_bw and @WheelerICCS, to discuss their co-authored report entitled 'Nuclear Responsibilities: A New Approach to Thinking and Talking about Nuclear Weapons'.
Introducing the report, @seb_bw said that the idea was to explore ways to foster a culture of responsibility in the heart of nuclear politics, adding that a strong culture of talking and thinking about nuclear responsibilities will reduce mistrust, misperception, instability,etc.
Thinking and talking about nuclear responsibilities, said Sebastian, helps in better policymaking which, among other things, is critical to mitigating misperceptions and creating a better understanding at multiple levels when it comes to nuclear policy.
Read 37 tweets
Mar 7, 2021
In this session of the CSSPR Conversation Series, @Rabs_AA discussed with @PravinSawhney the Sino-Indo disengagement and its implications on the threats India faces, the ceasefire on the LoC, India's position within the QUAD, and a lot more.
Disengagement happened within the 1959 Chinese claim line, and in areas which only had tactical value, said Pravin Sawhney while arguing that it showed how the PLA was unwilling to even give tactical concessions to India.
The PLA, he said, was insistent on India needing to vacate places within the Chinese claim line, if further progress is to be made.
Read 25 tweets

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