You won't need all day Peter @ClarkeMicah , in return can you explain why the German lockdown was so successful despite a higher population and easier cross border movements of people? Call it a quid pro quo.... a thread
Prior to the UK finally locking down in late March people had already started taking children out of schools and also limiting contact, often driven by employers moving faster. What this does is start to limit unnecessary travel and contact, and they are key vectors
Prior to that the UK risk increased massively at the end of half term when thousands of school children returning from Austria, France and Italy got stuck all day at Calais Port due to storms, this was a great infection vector and seeded the spread across the whole of the UK.
Despite limited test and trace the case rise from end of February was starting to look significant, mainly thanks to the asymptomatic school kids spreading it around. As people and businesses took steps outside of government advice transport levels declined significantly
The way you stop any disease spreading is to limit contact transmission (epidimiology 101 Peter) so people unilaterally acting sensibly meant we had started to limit spread even before the final lockdown.
Had Johnson ignored his humanities graduate SPAD who had a hard on for herd immunity and locked down earlier we would have seen similar levels to Germany, Poland and other countries who followed proper epidimiological guidelines the UK lockdown would have been swift and cheap Image
The reason its screwed the country is not because it didn't work, its because it was applied too late. Johnson thought he could use herd immunity and gain and economic advantage, he and his SPAD got it very wrong. Hence a prolonged and damaging lockdown.
So you are barking up the wrong tree @ClarkeMicah you should be directing your ire at the failing government and its inaction rather than tried and tested epidimiology which you don't understand. Now over to you for your critique of Germany.

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More from @nathansldennis

5 Feb
So this is a common comment from people who still seem to think that it would be business as usual at the Golf Club after you crashed the buggy into the water hazard and then took a dump in the middle of the pro shop after a skinful of stella, a thread 1/ #BrexitReality `
The single market is a trade bloc, a trade bloc is an area in which all participants agree to trade on the same terms with the same regulations which lessens the burdens of trading with different rules for each country. Bottom line standardisation reduces cost & friction 2/
The deal struck between the Johnson Goverment and the EU, which Lance voted for enthusiatically in the European Parliament ended all standardisation with the single market, this at a stroke threw up the same non tariff barriers experienced by North Korea. 3/ #BrexitReality
Read 11 tweets
22 Jan
Meet Ben everyone, he thinks that leaving the single market and the customs union, part of his Brexit plan, is not why fish exporters are facing massive challenges with exporting,so is he correct or is this a bit fishy? A thread 1/ #BrexitDeal
Well Ben is a huge fan of the UK exiting with absolutely no trade deal at all on WTO terms, this would of course mean that as well as all the customs and non tariff barriers to UK exports he would also be piling tariffs on top as well. 2/ #BrexitDeal
So would things be better for the UK fisherfolk under a no deal exit to WTO terms? Well, no, because on top of all the customs paperwork and added red tape of the Johnson deal you would also have significant tariffs, and this would also be a product of Brexit 3/ #BrexitCarnage
Read 11 tweets
29 Sep 20
Meet Tom everyone, Tom doesn't know the difference between production cost (farm gate) and shop price. So lets talk about why he remains consistent in being wrong on so many subjects, a thread. /1
Lets take US chicken as an example, per KG its a few pence cheaper than chicken that meets UK standards for animal welfare, production standards and food safety. So what do US farmers do differently? 2/
Cheap US chicken isn't 'free range', the animal will spend its life in a warehouse, living in a lake of chicken faeces and surrounded by the corpses of its friends, often with wounds from being pecked due to overcrowding, this isn't exactly sanitary. 3/
Read 11 tweets
16 Sep 20
Sounds great doesn't it, back to 2004 levels per 100,000 people. Except this is a classic case of small meets big and why even though its measurable Ice cream sales do not cause sunburn......
In 2004 the UK population was 59.8 million people so having 877 per 100,000 die of 'all causes' meant you had (59.8 million/100,000) x 877 Deaths = 524,446

Now in 2020 we have 67.88 million people (67.88m/100,000)x877 = 595,307 deaths

Thats 70,000 excess deaths!
So whats this guy proven? (nothing but humour me)

Well, the excess death estimates from Covid at circa 70,000 fit the absolute difference between 2004 and 2020

And thats before you consider that 'all causes' has varied year on year, in 2020 less people died on the roads so far
Read 5 tweets
14 Sep 20
Ok, so you have a variety of options in the modern world of software, some of it dealt with contractually, some of it stategically and some of it because developers are a law unto themselves. 1/
2/ Lets start with contractually, its common for a contract between parties to have an escrow clause on the source code in case the supplier goes bust, this is even more important in the world of cloud software as you don't install anything and have less control.
3/ Then we have strategy, if you want your software product to be sticky with customers you want them building it into the ecosystem they use so you have API's (Application Programming Interface) to let people build stuff to work with, or in place of some of your product.
Read 6 tweets
23 Jul 20
Here's the thing, @GregHands is correct on this point, but lets dig a little deeper from personal experience of the power of living overseas and learning a language.
I first lived overseas in 1973/1974 just after the UK joined the EEC as my Mum had found work in Spain, it was a grim time in the UK, and as a single parent she didn't have a lot of opportunity back home.
I then did the same in 1992 after leaving Liverpool Poly and 'getting on my bike' ala Norman Tebbit. I learnt French and how to herd thousands of confused tourists at Lyon and Chambery Airports.
Read 7 tweets

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