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The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
@NumbersMuncher
Jul 23, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Fox News swing state polls:

MI: Biden 49, Trump 40
PA: Biden 50, Trump 39
MN: Biden 51, Trump 38

These aren't surprising given the national state of the race, but you can see why Trump is having no success with his attacks on Biden - people view him favorably, unlike Trump. ImageImageImage
Fox News Poll:

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Michigan by 9 points, 49-40.

Biden leads among independent voters by 19, women by 18, and 9 in the suburbs.

Trump again polling below his job approval which stands at 45-54. He's also way below Gov Whitmer who is at 64-33.
Fox News Poll:

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Pennsylvania by 11 points, 50-39.

Biden leads among independent voters by 11, women by 17, and *26* in the suburbs.

Trump again polling below his job approval which stands at 43-56. He's also way below Gov Wolf who is at 63-33.
Fox News Poll:

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Minnesota by 13 points, 51-38.

Biden leads among independent voters by 7, women by *26,* and 12 in the suburbs.

Trump again polling below his job approval which stands at 42-57. He's also way below Gov Walz who is at 65-30.

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More from @NumbersMuncher

The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Apr 23
As a small business that imports products from China, I want to do a small thread to illustrate how damaging and stupid Trump's tariffs are... and why the constant changes make it almost impossible to maintain, let alone grow, a business right now.
Last weekend Trump told the world anyone against tariffs doesn't understand business, but yesterday he once again was running with his tail tucked trying to lower tariffs on China because businesses told him the damage would start showing up within weeks.

This is good, but...
Dropping tariffs to 50-60% from China is still crushing for small businesses - an item I currently sell for $20 would have to jump to ~$25 to maintain an already small margin.

Customers are already price sensitive and that kind of increase will likely tank sales quickly.
Read 8 tweets
The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Mar 31
I'm amazed at how many people on here talk about tariffs as if they have *any* idea how they function in reality.

As a small business that both pays and is being held hostage by them, let me be perfectly clear: Tariffs are a tax on US businesses that are passed on to consumers.
The Trump administration calling tariffs a 'tax cut' for Americans is one of the most intentionally dishonest statements you will ever hear.

They know that tariffs are 100% charged to US businesses, but they're counting on people to be too ignorant to know they're being lied to.
Not a single penny of tariffs are paid for by foreign companies, which I know because I've paid them for years.

And because I can't afford to just 'absorb' tax increases, they're passed on to consumers through higher prices *or* I go out of business. Those are my two options.
Read 5 tweets
The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Jun 26, 2022
CBS News Poll: Americans disapprove of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v Wade by an 18 point margin, 59-41.

Women disapprove by a 34 point margin, 67-33.
It remains to be seen what impact the Supreme Court's decision will have on the midterms, but it has (for now) motivated Democrats to vote in much higher numbers than Republicans.

Independents are more likely to vote than Republicans, but more are also now less likely to vote.
CBS News Poll: 57% of Americans believe that the Supreme Court will now go after same sex marriage while 55% believe they will limit access to birth control.

Hard to argue with them given that Thomas called for it, but not as clear that a case could get 5 votes. We'll find out.
Read 4 tweets
The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Feb 7, 2022
If you insist that students need masks in school, you should not be taking your mask off in a school for any reason.

This isn't difficult - if it's too dangerous for kids to learn without a mask then it's way too dangerous for you to take yours off for a photo op.
I thought masks were helpful early on and still think they have some marginal benefits when you're in a crowd for short periods of time (stores, etc).

But there are studies showing that masks on students in a classroom all day do next to nothing... it's well past time to stop.
Have you been around young kids sitting in a classroom for 6+ hours a day? They are not wearing high quality masks and they are absolutely not wearing them properly.

It's been two years - we know so much more... we should start acting like it and stop masking kids out of fear.
Read 4 tweets
The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Sep 13, 2021
CNN Poll: 73% of Americans have received at least one dose of the COVID vaccine while 27% have not.

88% of Democrats, 68% of independents, and 60% of Republicans have done so.

35% of Republicans say they will not get vaccinated, compared to 25% of independents and 8% of Dems.
CNN Poll: 88% of college graduates have received at least one dose of the COVID vaccine while just 64% of non-college grads have.

87% of those who approve of Biden's job have received at least one dose against 57% of those who disapprove of Biden's job.
CNN Poll: 57% of parents say that all children attending school in-person should wear a facemask while 43% say no.

Overall that number is 63-37 when non-parents are included.
Read 5 tweets
The Darkest Timeline Numbersmuncher Profile picture
Sep 11, 2021
This article from the Federalist is the greatest thing they've ever written.

"Supreme Court has upheld [mandatory school vaccines] as constitutional for over a century, and only the political fringes believe there ought to be a debate about such matters."
thefederalist.com/2015/02/03/the…
Every piece of this article is simply amazing from the Federalist:

"But that doesn’t mean there are no tradeoffs for such a decision (refusing vaccinations). If you choose not to vaccinate, private and public institutions should be able to discriminate on that basis."
The Federalist actually said that the government should withhold child tax credits for those who refuse to vaccinate!

"The Australian experience on vaccines, where they tied access to family tax benefits to immunization, illustrates that carrots can be quite effective."
Read 5 tweets

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