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Derek Thompson Profile picture
@DKThomp
Jul 26, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Mask wearing is a lot more popular than you think.

huffpost.com/entry/face-mas…

Percent saying people should wear masks in public:

All Americans: 70%
Democrats: 92%*
GOP: 68%**
______

* GOP thinks only 71% of Dems support
** Democrats think only 30% of GOP supports Image
Upshots:

1. For a sharply polarized country, mask wearing is surprisingly popular.
2. There is a 24-point partisan gap in mask wearing.
3. Both sides underestimate the other party's position on masks.
4. Democrats' underestimation of GOP mask preferences is particularly large.
Anticipating the inevitable comments: Yes, this is a poll, not an ethnography.

A poll isn't going to tell you how many ppl are actually wearing masks properly. It's possible both parties are overstating their IRL mask behavior, but I don't know who's overstating it more.
Caveat 1: This is a different question, and Republicans are more likely to live in less dense areas, but you see a clearly partisan gap when the question is about "outside" rather than "in public around others"

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More from @DKThomp

Derek Thompson Profile picture
Apr 14
Homicides are plummeting.

In all 10 cities with the most 2023 homicides—for which we have data—homicides are falling. The pandemic crime wave is crashing hard.

If these percentage decline numbers were percentage growth numbers, it would be the lede of every cable news show—> Image
Link: wsj.com/us-news/murder…
Memphis homicides this year have declined 3% on an annualized basis


Image
Read 4 tweets
Derek Thompson Profile picture
Apr 9
New pod: The 4 dark laws of online engagement, according to psychologist @jayvanbavel

1. Negativity bias drives headline clicks
2. Extreme opinions drive in-group sharing
3. Out-group animosity drives engagement
4. "Moral-emotional" language goes viral

open.spotify.com/episode/5axHxi…
1. Negativity bias drives headline clicks

The most fundamental bias in news is not left, right, pro-corporate, or anti-tech. It's a bad toward catastrophic frames. An analysis of 105,000 different variations of news stories generating 5.7 million clicks found that "for a headline of average length, each additional negative word increased the click-through rate by 2.3%"Image
2. Extreme opinions drive in-group sharing

On Twitter, 97% of political posts on Twitter come from 10% of the most active users, and 90% of political opinions are represented by less than 3% of tweets. Because these users are disproportionately extreme, it creates a situation where the moderate middle, which might be dominant in corporeal reality, is absent online.Image
Read 6 tweets
Derek Thompson Profile picture
Apr 3
In the last 25 years:

1. The U.S. had the fastest decline in church attendance in history

2. Socializing time fell for all groups—but declined the most for those whose religiosity fell the most

I wrote about what America loses when it loses religion

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
One myth of religion in America is that, since secularism in the west is old, the great dechurching is an old phenomenon, too.

That's not quite right.

Church attendance was remarkably steady in the 20th century. This wave of religious un-affiliation is only 30 years old.
Image
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Ppl often say stuff like: Religion declined, and Americans tried to replace faith in god w/ crystals, or politics, or UFOs.

I'm interested in the time-use piece of this. Religious rituals declined, and Americans seem to have replaced them with ... sitting at home watching TV.
Read 4 tweets
Derek Thompson Profile picture
Mar 18
Austin is building housing like crazy.

Rents are down 7%.

But rather than frame this achievement as a win for renters—or for the arg that housing prices respond to supply growth—WSJ frames it pretty clearly as bad news across the board. Image
Seems important to arguments about supply side growth and prices that Austin

(a) leads the nation is apartment construction as a share of supply, and
(b) rent prices have meaningfully declined
Image
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Yes, housing is a market, producers are a part of the market, and markets don't work longterm if prices just go down.

But, again, FRAMING. Downtown housing supply in rich, high-productive metros is a national problem. Solving that problem *necessarily* requires rents to soften.
Read 5 tweets
Derek Thompson Profile picture
Feb 23
Political scientists recently coined the phrase "Need for Chaos."

Trust me that when you learn what the term means, you’ll see it everywhere: in polls, in Trump speeches, on Twitter, in Rogan clips.

Today I wrote about the new American nihilism.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Need for Chaos is a politics that transcends partisanship and polarization, as we understand it.

It's not about being a Republican. It's not about hating Democrats. It's about hating *both* parties, distrusting *every* institution, despising *any* individual branded The Elite.
Above all, need for chaos is a kind of aesthetic taste for burn-it-down rhetoric that proposes to destroy the System without any clear sense of what should replace it. This kind of politics appeals to people as a blend of corrective justice and entertainment. Image
Read 5 tweets
Derek Thompson Profile picture
Feb 14
I wrote about the collapse of face-to-face socializing in in the 21st century.

From 2003-2022, American adults reduced socializing by 30%. For teens, the decline was nearly 50%. There is no record of any period in history when ppl spent more time alone.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
In the last few weeks, I've spent a lot of time with the American Time Use Survey to understand how socialization has declined and for whom it's fallen fastest. 5 points.

1) Socialization is falling—and loneliness rising—more for teens than other age groups (ht @jean_twenge)
Image
Image
@jean_twenge 2) Loneliness inequality is rising.

For Black, poor, less educated, and non-married men, the decline in socialization since 2003 has been steepest. For the richest quartile and ppl with advanced degrees, the decline has been most shallow.
Read 7 tweets

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