After all, we only have so many hospital beds, PPE, etc - we needed to "flatten the curve."
- Buy time
- Reduce peak health care utilization
- Prolong the epidemic at manageable levels
Here's where we went astray: We should have recognized, after 15 days, that we wouldn't succeed in suppression. We should have noted that hosp, vent, etc utilization was well under the initial estimates.
There were no hospital overruns in Georgia. Nor in Florida, or Tennessee, or Texas (despite dire warnings about Houston), or Arizona (despite daily updates on rising case counts).
We stayed below the magic line. The curve was already flat enough.
"Within a few months, our financial situation would be such that we would not be able to make payroll."
This in a state where patients were expected to abound.
"There's no evidence that [lockdown] kind of quarantine is better for containment than airport screening, education, instruction to get tested if ill."