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John Schindler Profile picture
@20committee
Aug 1, 2020 • 3 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
"The antidote to tinfoil and media avoidance is right here."

Since all the cool kids are doing it these days, I've established a Substack newsletter devoted to espionage and national security.

Please check it out!

topsecretumbra.substack.com/p/welcome-to-t…
The flagship product is the weekly Intelligence Summary on Fridays. TSU's first INTSUM is right here, devoted (how not?) to the latest news in the Epstein saga:

topsecretumbra.substack.com/p/the-epstein-…
This was the #HINT yesterday; the details are in the TSU INTSUM.

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More from @20committee

John Schindler Profile picture
Oct 8, 2023
A bit of Intel #realtalk: It's obvious that Israel profoundly misjudged the level of threat HAMAS presented. It's not clear what role intel, per se, played in this. Israeli intelligence (SHABAK + MOSSAD + AMAN) are very good but not omniscient, not even next door in Gaza. /1
Indeed, Israeli intel's look into Gaza is less effective than in the West Bank, where it's a lot easier for SHABAK especially to collect. There was surely SIGINT + HUMINT + IMINT that, in hindsight, will reveal HAMAS' intentions. Were they known before? We don't know that yet. /2
Perhaps there was a great intel failure here, we'll see. But, just as CSI shows have made juries expect to see hard, usually DNA, evidence presented by prosecutors, movies & TV have made intelligence seem a lot more obvious than it often is in reality. Analysis is the lynchpin./3
Read 9 tweets
John Schindler Profile picture
Sep 21, 2023
I don't see how Justin's getting out of this mess without US/UK help. India's not backing down and Trudeau has better information than "We just know, ok" this diplomatic mess isn't getting any movement out of the hole Justin drove Canada into.

The intelligence here is key...
It's a very rare thing for any country to openly accuse another of arranging an assassination on their soil. Especially when it's a friendly, fellow Commonwealth country that's strategically valuable to the US and the West due to the rising China threat. Bad timing, Justin. /2
Moreover, denouncing India for pulling off a hit on Canadian soil without providing anything resembling evidence -- just trust me -- isn't really a thing, folks. I can't fathom why PM Trudeau though this was a smart path to take. But, here we are and India isn't backing down. /3
Read 16 tweets
John Schindler Profile picture
Apr 14, 2023
Brief thread: I realize many Americans hear "National Guard" and conjure up images of good ol' boys playing Army on the weekend. In reality, the Guard and Reserve possess a lot of intelligence and related (IO, etc) units which are fully integrated into broader DoD/IC missions...
These specialized units often add considerable value to the IC since certain esoteric skill sets (languages, IT) frequently reside more easily in the Reserve Component (RC) than the active force. Don't write them off or think they're unimportant. They're all over the country...
Moreover, these intel-type RC units are, on paper, held to the same standards as the active military in terms of security clearances, SSOs, SCIF management, etc. If you're not up to par, and your personnel aren't trained & cleared, they're not deployable, so what's the point?
Read 9 tweets
John Schindler Profile picture
Nov 11, 2022
Five Things to Know About World War 1

It's Veterans Day in the USA, what was previously known as Armistice Day, commemorating the end of WW1 on this day in 1918. So it's the right time for a short thread on what everybody should ponder about the misnamed War to End all Wars. /1
1) WW1 involved more than the Western Front. While it was less of a "world war" than WW2 (arguably less than the Seven Years War), it still had a lot going on beyond France and Flanders. The war was decided in the West but the Anglosphere pays little attention to other fronts./2
2) There aren't many good WW1 movies. Especially compared to WW2. So, people don't think much about the war. Most of the movies tend towards 'the Horror' Narrative about WW1, emphasizing the Western Front, Lions Led By Donkeys, Generals in Chateaus, add your preferred cliche. /3
Read 9 tweets
John Schindler Profile picture
Apr 19, 2022
Here, on Earth, no legit military historians believe that. In truth, Wehrmacht tactical leadership was generally more flexible and fast-moving than US/UK in WW2 (and certainly than the Soviets). Put Auftragstaktik in the Google sometime, Mike. Ton of literature exists on this.
Also, about "Hitler’s army fell apart in 1944-1945": here, again, on Earth, that never happened. The Wehrmacht had to be beaten into submission to the bitter end in the heart of the Reich in APR 1945. Had they fallen apart the war might really have been over by Xmas '44 as hoped.
If you prefer literature to history, the late Paul Fussell, the academic literary critic who was badly wounded fighting the Wehrmacht with the US Army's 103rd ID in the ETO, as a rifle platoon leader, had some pungent 1st-person commentary on the enemy:

harpers.org/nc-redirect/?r…
Read 8 tweets
John Schindler Profile picture
Mar 30, 2022
UPDATE: Since my piece was published 4 hours ago, Bratislava has announced the imminent expulsion of up to 35 Russian "diplomats" from Slovakia.

The EU's unprecedented PNGpalooza of Russian spies rolls onwards and upwards thanks to Putin's Ukraine War.

topsecretumbra.substack.com/p/pngpalooza-s…
Source below

cc @_JakubJanda

spectator.sme.sk/c/22873806/slo…
To summarize, since mid-MAR the EU has announced the PNG of up to 126 Russian "diplomats":

Poland = 45
Slovakia = 38
Belgium = 21
Netherlands = 17
Ireland = 4
Czechia = 1
(+ N Macedonia = 5)

This is unprecedented. Enormous blow to the Kremlin & RIS.

topsecretumbra.substack.com/p/pngpalooza-s…
Read 4 tweets

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