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Imagine if our “leaders”, “experts” and a majority of the population were this rational. Written by a fund manager whom I will not cite unless he requests. 1/8
“Honestly, the policy response is not hard once you accept that (1) this is mitigation not suppression, (2) we have a clear understanding of who is vulnerable and who is not, and (3) 30-40% of the population will be infected (with disease break point at 15-20%)” 2/8
“...regardless of what we do.
If you are vulnerable (old, diabetes, obese, etc.) – take every precaution. Test frequently. Have pulse oximeters to detect if 02 levels are falling. Do all you can to minimize person-to-person contact – and to keep fit and healthy.” 3/8
“Everyone else who is healthy and under age 65 – live your normal lives while practicing moderate social distancing (to minimize initial viral loads and therefore health outcome risk). Re-open schools. Re-start youth sports. Get back to life.” 4/8
“Policies: Do every event possible outside – schools, fitness classes, restaurants, etc. Encourage the population to exercise outside and get sun (to lower obesity and reduce vitamin D deficiency). This should be a call to arms for citizens to get healthy!” 5/8
“Another policy: Governments should set up recovery locations for (1) isolating people with COVID who don’t have enough room to self-isolate at home and (2) for people recovering from COVID who don’t need to be in hospital any more.” 6/8
“No need to test anyone without symptoms in the normal population. If you are a health care worker or if you work in nursing homes, you should be tested frequently. And anyone with symptoms should be tested. Contact tracing is not necessary and should be stopped.” 7/8
“No travel bans. No quarantining the healthy. Mask wearing or lack thereof is irrelevant. In short – quarantine and protect those at-risk, while everyone else lives their lives with moderate/sensible precautions in place.” Brilliantly said, elegantly rational. Problem solved./end
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