Here’s my wacky Covid conspiracy theory. National is hideously disorganised for this election, at least partly because they thought it would be delayed due to Covid. The quick bounce back from Covid means they are caught short both on prep... 1/n
... such as candidate selection (which was way behind prior to the wave of unexpected resignations) and policy development, and looking like a credible alternative Govt against an actual Govt who have been governing their own socks off. 2/n
So National needs more breathing space before we go to the vote. One way for that to happen would be another L4 lockdown. That would have the added bonus of making the Govt look bad and bursting their Covid Beaters bubble. 3/n
The most likely way we would get to needing a nationwide L4 lockdown would be due to widespread (geographically) community transmission, which at this point would need to come in via the border. But the borders are locked down. 4/n
Hence all the flailing about the need to Open The Borders. Now there are lots of holes in this (like any good conspiracy theory) and it would be an incredibly dangerous and cynical tactic for anyone to take. It’s likely not true. It’s almost always cock-up not conspiracy 5/n
Makes me think though. 🤔 FIN 6/6
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I know it can feel like all we (NZ) did was delay things. But quite apart from considering all the nice things we were able to have in the last two years by deferring death & sickness, we also gained a lot of ground that will decrease death & sickness in the coming weeks… 1/n
For a start we are more vaxxed and boosted than ever before, and the science tells us that does make a difference with omicron - those who catch COVID with some vax are much less likely to end up in hospital or die. The vaxxed are also less likely to infect others eg less… 2/n
… severe symptoms like coughing, sneezing, and for a shorter period, means less virus being spread than from those who get sicker. There are cases now of household contacts in vaxxed houses who aren’t catching it off an infected housemate. Also because we have better… 3/n
I used to run fundraising second hand book sales for @CityVisionNZ. This was also a recycling effort, plus providing cheap books. What was intended to be my final sale was crashed by Covid and I had thousands of books stored downstairs at my house; they needed to go! 2/n
At the start of 2021 I began getting the boxes ready to start dropping off to the big Rotary etc sites. I managed a couple of car loads but then I broke my wrist and I couldn't drive or lift boxes for ages. By the time I could it was August 2021 & we were back in lockdown. 3/n
I worked in retail at a number of different shops part time from about 1992-2000. A lot of that time was at Whitcoulls, at what I can see now was probably it’s most successful period. I remember they did a massive staff survey and discovered...
A) staff paid under (the then) minimum wage. I was on a high rate of $7.90 so you can imagine how low that was. B) staff employed at a younger age than company policy allowed C) Many shop staff were underpaid for the role they were in. D) Lots of arbitrary pay arrangements...
So they did a huge overhaul of the pay scales. There was no collective agreement - I never met another union member the whole time I worked there (about five years all up). But they came up with this pretty promising pay system where each role had a range and it was clear...
Part of the problem with the continuing investment in Enormous Roading Projects is the huge lead in times for these projects vs smaller safety, active transport or PT ones. They get contracted further out, have huge sunk costs before you even get to that, so v hard to stop. 1/
Whereas smaller projects, like say a pedestrian crossing for a school on a busy road, only get contracted a short time out, have relatively low cost in terms of design, consultation etc. Much more vulnerable to delay that becomes deferral that becomes never. 2/
These smaller projects also generally have much much lower profiles in the community - pissing off a school with 200 kids is lower risk than pissing off a whole suburb or town or region, who have been expecting delivery. This applies to both the politicians and the staff 3/
I am not a religious person, but how anyone can look at groups like Mt Roskill Evangelical Fellowship, going through this awful disease in their midst, worried and scared, and not think There But For The Grace Of X Go I. Have some compassion and kindness please.
And I have heard that a lot of them are doing it really tough at the moment. They are getting a lot of hate from outside the community, when they are already going through a terrible time. You don't need to add to it.
Some of them will probably die. Others will have to live with life long disability. That's a lot to deal with already. Remember "people are the solution"? Shame doesn't help, in fact it harms and puts people off getting help, tests, that can protect us all.
I'm thinking about the challenge for AKL, as a city/region, of operating in and out of L3 for the next few years. How do we effectively operate libraries, water systems, housing (dealing w homelessness, new builds, WOF, retro fitting and more), park networks, transport? 1/
Some of our normal income streams will be unavailable, hard hit, by both level changes and the loss of international tourism, so how do we replace that? More green jobs is an obv step forward, but how to pay for that work, opex, capex? 2/
So not just what do we support but what do we shift away from - what do we de-prioritise and how can we make sure that doesn't reduce money in the local economy, but instead uses local multiplier effect to full advantage nefconsulting.com/our-services/e… 3/