Richard Murphy Profile picture
Aug 19, 2020 7 tweets 1 min read Read on X
The costs of coronavirus continues to mount.

There’s the lost confidence in exams

And the consequent alienation from education

Which is bound to continue as parents refuse to send children back to school, soon
Then there’s the cost of supporting some now over-subscribed universities, that will become Covid hotspots soon

And the cost of supporting those universities who have lost out from grade inflation but who we will definitely need next year
After which there’s the cost of finding 250,000 people who are going to evicted from homes for coronavirus related rent defaults very soon, all of who, will be without deposits to find new ones
Whilst there will also be the cost of bailing out councils, now stretched beyond their limits
And if Matt Hancock’s new Micky-mouse health ‘Institute’ is going to evidence any sort of nous it’s going to demand that all the cuts he and Hunt imposed on Public Health England in recent years be restored
And that’s before we get to the cost of extending furlough to prevent the next debacle
I sincerely hope HM Treasury has embraced deficit funding in perpetuity by now because if not something’s going to break. My concern is that it will notice none of these things and try to ‘balance the books’ nonetheless. That’s when politics might get ugly

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More from @RichardJMurphy

Mar 20
The war we are facing in the Middle East is illegal and unnecessary and is being pursued by people guilty of war crimes, and maybe other crimes as well. That, though does not mean there are no consequences. There are, and none of them are good news. A thread…….
We already know that oil prices are rising dramatically as a consequence of this war. Oil fuels everything from cars, to flights, to industry, to industrial production, and even food. A price shock here will spread throughout the economy. We can expect serious in inflation.
There is also a risk that 20% of all the world’s liquid natural gas supplies will not now be available. In this case, the risk is not just that there will be price rises but that there will be insufficient gas. There just won’t be the gas we need to buy. And, remember, electricity in the UK is at least one third generated from gas.
Read 18 tweets
Jul 12, 2025
Trump is now threatening to impose all the tariffs he proposed in April.

Then he backed away and was mocked with TACO – Trump Always Chickens Out.

Now, he can’t retreat and retain any credibility.

So, when’s the inevitable financial crash? A thread…
First, let’s clear what’s likely to happen.

When Trump imposes tariffs, money will pour out of the USA.

That is what is technically called capital flight.

Those who have saved in the USA — especially from overseas — will rush for the exits.
Second, that loss of faith will have consequences.

Markets will collapse.

Not simply because of tariffs themselves, but because Trump has created countless pinch points — points at which what was once sustainable suddenly and very obviously becomes fragile.
Read 19 tweets
Jun 28, 2025
The UK spends as much on tax breaks for the wealthy’s pensions as it does on benefits for people with disabilities. One is handed out automatically. The other is fought for, often for years. If you want to see how rigged our system is, read on. 🧵
There are different estimates of how much the UK pays in benefits to people with disabilities or health conditions. The range is £66bn to £75bn a year. Let’s call it £70bn. That’s a big sum. But now let’s look at something else.
The UK also spends around £70bn a year subsidising pension tax relief. That includes income tax breaks, national insurance perks, corporation tax reliefs, and tax-free growth inside pension funds.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 30, 2024
Most budgets end in tears for Chancellors within days of being delivered.

The trouble is that even if Chancellors understand economics, and few do, they do not understand the real-world consequences of what they propose.
I think, based on what we know already, that the backlash on this one will be on employer's NIC increases.

A 2% increase, as expected, will hit all employers, and especially small ones, really hard.
If they realise government departments have been compensated for this cost and they are not going to be the result will be severalfold.

First, there will be anger. The press will feed on this.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 12, 2024
Keir Starmer will say the NHS must "reform or die" today. What he is really saying is that to balance Rachel Reeves' books, you might die because he's not willing to raise the funds to deliver the NHS this country needs. How does it feel to be a human sacrifice to austerity?
That, I think, summarises what Starmer will really be saying today.

He's refusing to provide the new money the NHS requires even though he knows, and will say, the Tories underfunded it.
Then he will claim he has no choice about that - which is completely untrue.

As a result, he is deliberately supporting the Tory plan, which was to collapse the NHS.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 2, 2024
Would the UK economy really have collapsed as Labour is saying if it had not cut the winter fuel allowance for most pensioners within days of coming into office, whilst announcing more more ‘pain’ to come? Of course it wouldn’t have done. A thread…..
Lucy Powell MP, Leader of the House of Commons, made the absurd claim that cutting winter fuel allowance saved the economy from collapse when taking on television on Sunday morning.
I suspect that she would have said the same of keeping the two child benefit cap in place. Together these policies saved maybe £4 billion. They reduced the well-being of more than 10 million low income people, many living in poverty.
Read 32 tweets

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