Margot Sanger-Katz Profile picture
Aug 20, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Flatten the curve, but for ballots. nytimes.com/interactive/20… @qdbui Image
If ballots are spread out, delivering them will not tax the postal service. If they all come at once, election week would look like Christmas week.
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Ironically, the recession will make it easier for the postal service to process a ton of ballots.

Mail volume is way down this year.
nytimes.com/interactive/20… Image
There are, of course, lots of ways that election mail could go wrong--because of overtime reductions, because of Covid outbreaks in postal facilities, because of new cuts or policy changes. But, if it's spread out, election mail is just not that much mail.
nytimes.com/interactive/20…

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More from @sangerkatz

Sep 30
The Harris campaign is out today with a paper warning about what would happen if Trump repeals Obamacare. kamalaharris.com/wp-content/upl…
Also, today, I published a story about what would happen to subsidies for about $20 million people if the next president and Congress simply do nothing. nytimes.com/2024/09/30/ups…
The subsidies have brought down the price of insurance substantially--making it free for many low income families, and offering financial help to higher earners who got no assistance from Obamacare initially. But they will expire after next year without action.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 5, 2023
Medicare slowth: still going. One of the great (fortunate) mysteries of our time. @aliciaparlap @jshkatznytimes.com/interactive/20…
@aliciaparlap @jshkatz First of all, credit to @ddiamond for coining the term "slowth," to mean slow growth.
@aliciaparlap @jshkatz @ddiamond Medicare has been a budget buster for so long that a lot of smart people have found the program's recent trend of slow growth surprising.
Read 19 tweets
May 12, 2023
When I was reporting on this story about the fiscal impacts of the GOP debt ceiling bill, I stumbled upon a provision that was getting very little attention but would be hugely consequential. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
The provision is called the REINS Act, and is designed to get Congress more engaged in the details of how laws they pass get implemented--by forcing Congress to vote every major regulation up or down. nytimes.com/2023/05/12/ups…
I started calling regulatory policy experts. Almost none of them knew this policy had just passed the House. nytimes.com/2023/05/12/ups…
Read 14 tweets
Apr 13, 2023
Be sure to read @atmccann on the growing abortion pill underground, full of incredible details and never-before-collected data. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
This channel has provided 50,000 pill packs to women since the Dobbs decision. Image
For context, @clairecm and I wrote about data suggesting that the number of legal abortions during this period fell by around 32,000. nytimes.com/2023/04/12/ups…
Read 5 tweets
Mar 22, 2023
A technical Medicare Advantage model change, buried deep in the annual rate notice, has unleashed a lobbying frenzy. nytimes.com/2023/03/22/hea… @ReedAbelson
There is tons of evidence that insurers in the program have been manipulating a program that pays them extra fees for enrolling customers with more illnesses. The change took away payments for some of diagnoses that are gamed the most.
@ReedAbelson and I wrote last year about how nearly every major player in Medicare Advantage is facing a federal fraud lawsuit for this type of behavior. nytimes.com/2022/10/08/ups…
Read 28 tweets
Mar 6, 2023
Republicans in the House have been talking about balancing the budget. Since budget season kicks off this week, @aliciaparlap @jshkatz and I took a look at what that would take. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
First of all, balancing the budget in a decade would be hard. It would involve reducing spending and/or raising revenue by $16 trillion. That's around a quarter of federal spending.
The chart above is just an illustration. Almost no one recommends balancing the budget by just cutting everything in the budget by a quarter.
Read 16 tweets

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