1/ Thoughts on portfolio management from @peterthiel
2/ “...every single company in a good venture portfolio must have the potential to succeed at vast scale”
3/ “If you focus on diversification instead of single-minded pursuit of the very few companies that can become overwhelmingly valuable, you’ll miss those rare companies in the first place”
4/ Not casting the net wide enough reduces the odds of catching a big one
Cast the net too wide and returns from the big one will be diluted
Where is your sweet spot?
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Re-read “100 Baggers” by @chriswmayer and an early theme is to “buy well”.
Investors emphasize valuation which is part, but not all, that buying well entails.
This is what the world was like during my solid buys; for the best buys multiple factors were in play.
2/ Obvious, but the market was down. As a result headlines were pessimistic and investors were focused on macro issues.
The proverbial baby had been thrown out with the bath water.
3/ The business was investing through the income statement, depressing margins.
Investors were losing their patience which created a coiled spring. Once the company’s investments paid off profits grew as did the valuation multiples.
1/ Bezos wasn’t speaking of investment managers here but may as well have been.
2/ “Good process serves you so you can serve customers. But if you’re not watchful, the process can become the thing.”
3/ “This can happen very easily in large organizations. The process becomes the proxy for the result you want. You stop looking at outcomes and just make sure you’re doing the process right.”