“Arab-Israeli normalization is a powerful reminder for Iranians of both the venality & abject failure of the Islamic Republic’s imperialist policies, triggering backlash that has left them increasingly isolated, impoverished & insecure.” @FDD John Hannah: realcleardefense.com/articles/2020/…
“Reducing what would have been a several thousand mile problem to a few hundred miles resolves a lot of operational obstacles, significantly boosting the credibility & success of any independent Israeli military option to destroy Iran’s nuke program, should it prove necessary.”
“It goes without saying that seeing not just one of its Arab-Muslim rivals, but a group of them in fairly rapid succession overcoming their differences with Israel to join hands under an American umbrella would be a genuine nightmare for the Iranian regime.”
“The UAE’s outright repudiation of the Islamic Republic’s resistance narrative is precisely what Iranian demonstrators seek when they chant “no to Gaza, no to Lebanon, I give my life only for Iran.”
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Spent a week in London & Paris — two great cities — for meetings on the Muslim Brotherhood, Iran & Israel.
My takeaway: if the British & French don’t replace their feckless leaders with those who will confront Islamism decisively, both nations will be gone in a decade.
I went to some areas in Paris which most tourists will never see. Shocking. You’re safer in Damascus.
I was particularly interested in hearing from Muslims — the ones most threatened by the Islamists. They’re trying to raise their children as proud British and French citizens while the Islamists work to radicalize their kids.
How much damage did the U.S. and Israeli strikes really do to Iran’s nuclear program — and what comes next?
Here’s what some are missing 🧵:
1/ On enrichment per se, skeptics not entirely wrong — technically, Iran can still enrich to HEU.
But can they do it unnoticed? Without giving Israel or the U.S. the chance to strike again — when they are now even more exposed than they were on June 11?
That’s the task: monitor materials & centrifuges, facilities and weapons scientists.
2/
Here’s what skeptics missing:
It would have been far easier for Iran to do this before the strikes.
1/ We most avoid a nuclear deal that looks like a rebranded version of the 2015 Obama disaster—the same one Trump rightly torched in 2018 as “the worst deal ever negotiated.”
2/ The new trap? Let Iran keep enriching uranium—just like under Obama. But that was the fatal flaw of the original deal. Enrichment = nuclear blackmail. Always has, always will.
3/ The 2015 deal handed Iran a legitimized nuclear program + up to $1 trillion in sanctions relief. The restrictions? Set to expire just five years from now. A ticking bomb.
Warning ⚠️ Biden-Harris administration about to launch an economic warfare campaign against Israel. On February 1st, they issued Executive Order 14115, establishing first-ever U.S. sanctions program explicitly targeting an ally. They intend a major escalation in the lame duck.
“This dynamic may explain why the Biden administration created a sanctions regime against Israel. The rapidly expanding blacklist—against any Israeli deemed an obstacle to peace—may be the most dangerous innovation in U.S.-Israel policy. Harris staffer Ilan Goldenberg reportedly played an enthusiastic role in developing the sanctions. He’s now her Jewish outreach director.”
Here’s what you need to know about the “Butcher of Tehran”
1. Raisi’s Role in Iran’s 1988 Massacre of Political Dissidents
Raisi played a key role in Tehran’s 1988 massacre of thousands of political prisoners, serving on a four-member panel known as a Death Commission, which decided who would live and who would die. The commission would conduct interviews of prisoners — often just a few minutes long — aimed at determining their loyalty to the Islamic Republic. Typical questions included: “What is your political affiliation?” “Do you pray?” “Are you willing to clear minefields for the Islamic Republic?” The wrong answer meant death.
The executions usually occurred by hanging or by firing squad on the same day as the interrogations. The Death Commissions denied prisoners both lawyers and appeals. Burials occurred in unmarked mass graves, and the regime refused to tell relatives the locations of the bodies. The victims included women and children as young as 13.
2. Raisi’s Human Rights Abuses in the Judiciary
During the 2009 Green Revolution, Raisi servedas deputy chief justice, making him complicit in the prosecution — and, in some cases, the death sentences — of peaceful protesters who objected to Iran’s fraudulent election. As attorney general from 2014 to 2016, Raisi opposed lifting the regime’s house arrests of the Green Revolution’s leaders.