Thread by @MattFtheOracle

Here is my general approach to 2020 redraft leagues.

I want a top-seven RB:
Christian McCaffrey
Saquon Barkley
Ezekiel Elliott
Alvin Kamara
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Derrick Henry
Dalvin Cook

Rank those last three however you want. But I want them before Michael Thomas. (1/22)

I view Michael Thomas as the top player in a WR tier with Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and Julio Jones -- and I generally don't want to take the top player in a tier.

Also, WR is deeper than RB, so I'd rather take a top-seven RB over Thomas: I can find WRs I like later. (2/22)

Near the 1/2 turn (assuming a top-seven RB is not available), I'm probably going WR/WR or WR/TE.

If I take a RB, it's probably Austin Ekeler. Yes, I know that he no longer has QB Philip Rivers in LA to dump passes off to him.

I don't think that matters. (3/22)

Almost all of the guys in the RB8-14 tier have red flags.

Miles Sanders: Injured? Committee?
Joe Mixon: Migraines? Uncertain offense?
Josh Jacobs: Receiving usage? Middling offense?
Kenyan Drake: Injured? Workload?
Nick Chubb: Kareem Hunt?
Aaron Jones: TD regression? (4/22)

Of all the guys in that RB tier, Ekeler I believe has the most projectable role.

He has a high floor already and a McCaffrey-esque ceiling if he gets a far larger share of the rushing workload.

If I take a RB in Round 2, it will be Austin Ekeler. (5/22)

In the middle of Round 2, if I can get Julio Jones, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, or George Kittle, I'm satisfied.

I am not taking DeAndre Hopkins: He will get fewer targets from a quarterback with whom he has no established connection. (6/22)

At the 2/3 turn, I am happy with the following players.

RB: James Conner
WR: Kenny Golladay
TE: Mark Andrews

I am not taking either Patrick Mahomes or Lamar Jackson at this point.

In fact, I'm not taking Mahomes or L-Jax at all. (7/22)

In the middle of Round 3, I'm very satisfied w/ Chris Carson or Amari Cooper (assuming Conner & Andrews are not available).

Cooper in particular I want. The Cowboys offense could smash this year, and Cooper could run 50% of his routes from the slot against No. 3 CBs. (8/22)

A word on James Conner: I want him at his ADP, and I am fine reaching to ensure I get him.

Unless he suffers an injury, he's a fantasy RB1 with top-six upside.

Most other RBs in this range (w/ the exception of Carson) I'm avoiding. (9/22)

In Rounds 2-3, I'm avoiding Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and especially Allen Robinson.

Godwin & Evans are high-floor WRs, so they're not bad. I expect both will get 1,000 yards. But they will have to compete w/ Gronk for TDs.

🚨 A-Rob: Regression alert. (10/22)

Rounds 4-6 is a WR power alley: I want so many WRs going in this range, especially ...

JuJu Smith-Schuster
Courtland Sutton
Calvin Ridley
Robert Woods
Cooper Kupp
Terry McLaurin
T.Y. Hilton

All of these guys I think should be going a round earlier than they are. (11/22)

I want to come out of Rounds 4-6 w/ 2 WRs, 3 if I miss out on Cam Akers.

But I'm not missing out on Akers 🚀🚀🚀

- Elite recruit
- College production
- Strong physical profile
- Three-down skill set
- 21YO
- Draft capital
- Opportunity
- Good offense

Total smash. (12/22)

To sum up so far: Entering Round 7, I want to be in this situation.

2-3 RBs: Hopefully w/ Conner & Akers
2-4 WRs: Ideally w/ two guys from Rounds 4-6
TE: Only if a top-three guy
QB: No

Pretty simple. (13/22)

Thoughts on QB & TE.

At QB, I'm waiting for Cam Newton. He's in the top five when healthy -- and he's healthy. If I miss Newton, I'll target Ben Roethlisberger.

At TE, if I don't get Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, or Mark Andrews, I'm waiting until 12 TEs are off the board. (14/22)

In Round 7, I start swinging for the fences. The guys that I want -- "my guys" -- the upside guys -- I take as many of them as I can get from now until the end of the draft.

And in Round 7, that's either Will Fuller or Michael Gallup. Every. Single. Draft. (15/22)

After getting Fuller or Gallup in Round 7, here are the guys I want in Round 8 and beyond, starting w/ QBs:

Cam Newton
Ben Roethlisberger
Jimmy Garoppolo
Gardner Minshew
Tyrod Taylor (16/22)

Here are the RBs I want in Round 8 and after:

Antonio Gibson
Latavius Murray
Alexander Mattison
Tony Pollard
Chase Edmonds
Duke Johnson
Bryce Love
Chris Thompson
Darrel Williams
Benny Snell
Giovani Bernard (17/22)

WRs I want in Round 8 and after:

Brandin Cooks
Diontae Johnson
Marvin Jones
Henry Ruggs III
DeSean Jackson
Mecole Hardman
Brandon Aiyuk
Sammy Watkins
Laviska Shenault
Bryan Edwards
James Washington
John Ross
Tre'Quan Smith
Chase Claypool
Andy Isabella
K.J. Hamler (18/22)

TEs I want in Round 8 and after:

Hayden Hurst
Noah Fant
Dallas Goedert
Jonnu Smith
Chris Herndon
Eric Ebron
Devin Asiasi
Dalton Keene
Logan Thomas (19/22)

In shallow leagues, there's obviously no need to take guys near the bottom of these lists, but they are players to monitor on waivers.

And in deeper leagues, these guys provide tremendous upside off the bench. (20/22)

In summation, here's my 2020 redraft strategy.

Rounds 1-6:
QB: Nada
RB: Top-7 guys, hopefully Conner & Akers
WR: Maybe Davante, Tyreek, or Julio, guys in Rounds 4-6
TE: Maybe Kelce, Kittle, or Andrews

Round 7: Fuller or Gallup

Round 8 & beyond: Shoot your shot. (21/22)

Until the season starts, @The_Oddsmaker, @ChrisRaybon & I will update our projections each day in the draft kit.

A great resource for season-long player prop betting.

This is also where we'll keep our weekly in-season projections. Check it out. (22/22)

actionnetwork.com/fantasy-footba…

Sorry about this, I said Zach Ertz when I meant George Kittle.