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THREAD: Come on @MotherJones this kind of reporting is just careless and simple math makes it look ridiculous. motherjones.com/coronavirus-up… 1/
Basic math destroys this one. If Sturgis had 250,000 cases link then at a IFR of 0.26% then there will be 650 deaths and there has been one. Unless of course the IFR is far far lower than that. Which would be even better news. 2/
SD had a “peak” of 623 cases in August 27 and it has dropped since then. So I’m not sure how they have the highest rate of infection. They’ve also not had any increased deaths in the state they have been hobbling along in the single digits for the whole epidemic 3/
Their biggest death date reported was 6 on July 8, before Sturgis. In the article it said that SD currently has the highest rate of infection. That’s just not true. They had the most cases on Aug 29 and have been back falling again since. 4/
The hospitalizations in the state never rose above 100 since the beginning of the pandemic. 5/
Heres more math. The article bloviates that the cost of this “superspreader event” is heading towards $12B. That’s a BIG number. So you’re telling me that each case cost $48,000? HOW? $12B/250k=$48k per CASE. Now a case costs $48k? 6/
CDC estimated we have had well over 50M cases. Do that math. If cases cost $48k now, then how much has this actually cost us? At what point do we realize the media is playing us on this? It’s simple math and the article is debunked. 7/
There have been like maybe 250 cases actually linked to Sturgis. That I have found. There has been one death. It wasn’t a super spreader event. 460,000 people went to Sturgis. The US cases have been falling. 250k would have been seen in the numbers. 8/
Come on people, you’re smarter than they give you credit for. We have to start pushing back. Don’t let them manipulate our future. Only we can’t get stop this insanity. 9/end
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