Let’s go back in time to consider the performance of various epidemiological models for the shape of the coronavirus epidemic. nytimes.com/interactive/20… @qdbui @ParlaP @jshkatz 
@qdbui @ParlaP @jshkatz Looking at the charts in this article should make you wary about:
1) Relying too much on the precision of any one model.
2) Assuming any of these models can look out more than a few weeks in the future.
3) The IMHE model in particular.
1) Relying too much on the precision of any one model.
2) Assuming any of these models can look out more than a few weeks in the future.
3) The IMHE model in particular.
@qdbui @ParlaP @jshkatz You can look at the outputs from a large number of epi models here: cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
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