6yrs completed in one of my SIPs, IRR of 1.5%. I can understand people's frustration with mutual funds. A thread.
I rarely track IRR of my SIPs, leave alone tweet about it. So why now? Two reasons.
First: because there's a trend of people leaving MFs for stocks. When I saw my account statement and randomly checked the IRR, this trend hit home.
Second, a close friend wanted my advice as he shifted out from his SIPs to an investment advisory service. Hence, "I can understand people's frustration with mutual funds".
I don't like putting my personal finances in public domain but here:
SIP 1: 6yrs, 1.5%
SIP 2: 3yrs, 10%
SIP 3: 1yr, 8%
No I won't name them. And yes, these have a long way to run. 10yrs minimum, 25yrs ideal.
Why didn't I say this then? because the original tweet was me expressing sympathy with people leaving MFs. That doesn't imply I hate mutual funds. Yaar matlab kuch bhi FFS!
How can I possibly hate mutual funds? I have THREE SIPs that I haven't stopped even during this pandemic when I am working but earning zero. And yet I'm continuing my SIPs. What does that tell you?
It tells you that I believe in SIPs. My minimum tenure is 10years (ideally 25yrs) and I refuse to stop my SIPs. I love SIPs, they are so fucking simple. And that was the point made in the book. SIPs are simple tools.
SIPs are a simple way to put your money to work. They are a convenient means toward an end. They do NOT guarantee returns.
SIPs are blunt instruments. There are times they will work and there are times they won't. That's not a bug, it's a feature.
Just because I hold an SIP for 10yrs, am I guaranteed to beat the market? NO. It just increases my chances to earn positive returns.
And finally, an SIP is only one of MANY ways to invest in the market. Like lumpsum buying stocks. But both are different products for different objectives. Not comparable.
So why do I still continue with SIP? Because I'm not smart as everyone on Twitter. I don't actively track stocks. Unlike the rest of you, I didn't buy RIL at Rs875 in March. Fin.
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My ex-boss. I remember him. I looked up to him. Until one fine day he turned out to be a bigot. Of course he became bolder after...well you know when. And he found he had good company. Over time, I went silent on that WhatsApp group. And now that group has gone silent as fuck.
Then there are people I looked up to on Twitter from back in the day. I've been here long enough. Yeah, I un-followed most of them. There is this one markets guy but I muted him yesterday because, well, he was muted in past few days except for platitudes.
When we first logged on Twitter back in the 2007/2008, a few of us even started a campaign called Voteyatra - to get people to vote. This was a few years after the great @sidin had made a bold attempt at indie media with Hafta which was after blogging great @amitvarma had great success with India Uncut.
My name and address were used for a loan, without my knowledge or consent. I am now being chased by @MobiKwik to repay this loan. Here's what happened.
On 13th March, a CIBIL enquiry for a loan was done on my account by Whizdm Finance. My mistake to have ignored it then.
On 13th March, a loan of Rs30K was originated by Transactree, the company that runs @lendboxin. This loan went on my name with my address and mobile number taken from CIBIL.
Markets are at all-time highs. I think this is why. Thread.
Three things are getting 'factored in' (fancy word for assumed) by investors: a) Modi 350+ in May 2024 b) India GDP at 7%+ for foreseeable future and c) US Fed rate cuts (and RBI) start next year. These are big assumptions.
What can go wrong? If any of the previous three assumptions do not happen. But talking of what can go wrong, take a few steps and look at the past 4 years..